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Chase Brown
RB · CIN
START
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
DEEP STAT BOARD
Fantasy 2026 Pass-Catching Running Backs: The PPR Floor the Goal-Line Board Misses
FFMatchup · Sep 14, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Fantasy 2026 Goal-Line Backs: Who Owns the Touchdown Equity (and the Committee Traps)
FFMatchup · Sep 12, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Bye-week punt strategy 2026: when to sacrifice an early week for a better roster
FFMatchup · Aug 24, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Zero-RB strategy 2026: when it works, when it backfires, and what the draft board actually says
FFMatchup · Aug 24, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Chase Brown Fantasy 2026: A 300-Touch Bellcow Finally Priced Like One
FFMatchup · Aug 3, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs HOU: allows 19.5 PPR/g to RB, rank 23/32 (Tough). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
CIN targets to RB
CIN routes 18% of pass targets to RB this season (20% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.3 SD vs the league RB average.
Primary passer Joe Burrow. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (111/605). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj16.7RB6
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (RB6), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs HOU
contextNo prior games vs HOU in the record.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share18%
Opportunities22
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
95Hard
#32 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
100Average
#17 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
95Hard
#32 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Rest-of-season fantasy football rankings following NFL Week 1www.pff.com · 2026-09-15
- PR Roundtable: One Thing Bucs Should Worry About After Week 1www.pewterreport.com · 2026-09-15
- Bengals lead turnover-prone Bucs 24-10 at halftimewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-13
- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- Bucs Blunders Create 21-3 Deficit, Prove Costly In 33-27 Loss To Bengalswww.pewterreport.com · 2026-09-13
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
16.6 PPR/g · best 32.9
13
✓
1
9
✗
2
6
✗
3
10
✗
4
12
✓
5
9
✓
6
12
✓
7
26
✓
8
19
✓
9
19
✓
11
15
✓
12
18
✓
13
19
✓
14
16
✓
15
33
✓
16
29
✓
17
19
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1726.0 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 16.6 season averageour calls: 3/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs TB | 16 | 56 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 0% | 18% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vsCLE | 13 | 72 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 56% | 16% | 19.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 |
| 2025 W17 | vsARI | 22 | 101 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 61% | 9% | 29.1 | 27.6 | 26.1 |
| 2025 W16 | @MIA | 12 | 66 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 61% | 13% | 32.9 | 30.9 | 28.9 |
| 2025 W15 | vsBAL | 13 | 53 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 62% | 19% | 16.0 | 12.5 | 9.0 |
| 2025 W14 | @BUF | 12 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 67% | 11% | 18.5 | 17.0 | 15.5 |
| 2025 W13 | @BAL | 15 | 78 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 0 | 60% | 16% | 18.3 | 14.8 | 11.3 |
| 2025 W12 | vsNE | 19 | 107 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 89% | 12% | 15.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| 2025 W11 | @PIT | 18 | 99 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 82% | 21% | 18.7 | 15.7 | 12.7 |
| 2025 W9 | vsCHI | 11 | 37 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 75 | 0 | 96% | 31% | 19.2 | 15.2 | 11.2 |
| 2025 W8 | vsNYJ | 12 | 73 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 54% | 9% | 25.5 | 24.0 | 22.5 |
| 2025 W7 | vsPIT | 11 | 108 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -8 | 0 | 63% | 9% | 12.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| 2025 W6 | @GB | 9 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 54% | 5% | 8.9 | 7.9 | 6.9 |
| 2025 W5 | vsDET | 8 | 27 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 53% | 20% | 11.8 | 8.3 | 4.8 |
| 2025 W4 | @DEN | 10 | 40 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 73% | 14% | 10.1 | 8.6 | 7.1 |
| 2025 W3 | @MIN | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 55% | 19% | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| 2025 W2 | vsJAX | 16 | 47 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 71% | 7% | 8.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| 2025 W1 | @CLE | 21 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 75% | 13% | 13.1 | 12.1 | 11.1 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim82%hit rate
33 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 88%
of 17 Start calls
🟡 75%
of 12 Flex calls
🔴 75%
of 4 Sit calls
Based on 33 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | CLE | START | 18.1 | RB7 (19.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | ARI | START | 17.7 | RB3 (29.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | MIA | START | 15.9 | RB1 (32.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | BAL | START | 16.6 | RB13 (16.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | BUF | START | 17.7 | RB6 (18.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | BAL | START | 17.6 | RB10 (18.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | NE | START | 16.4 | RB13 (15.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | PIT | START | 14.4 | RB12 (18.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | CHI | FLEX | 13.1 | RB6 (19.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | NYJ | FLEX | 12.1 | RB5 (25.5) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade