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Ashton Jeanty
RB · LV
START
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
DEEP STAT BOARD
Fantasy 2026 Pass-Catching Running Backs: The PPR Floor the Goal-Line Board Misses
FFMatchup · Sep 14, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Draft the Role, Not the Line: The Best Fantasy Bets on 2026's Worst Offensive Lines
FFMatchup · Aug 11, 2026
WEEK 1 START/SIT
Week 1 Start/Sit: Our Model's Top Calls (Powered by Opportunity-Weighted DvP)
FFMatchup · Aug 9, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
The RB Age Cliff Meets 2026 ADP: Where the Board Is Buying Age
FFMatchup · Aug 9, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Ashton Jeanty Fantasy 2026: Is the Rookie Workhorse Worth a First-Round Pick?
FFMatchup · Aug 6, 2026
DEEP STAT
The Goal-Line Running Backs: Who Owns the Touchdown Equity for 2026
FFMatchup · Jul 26, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs LAC: allows 18.4 PPR/g to RB, rank 30/32 (Tough). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
LV targets to RB
LV routes 19% of pass targets to RB this season (22% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.7 SD vs the league RB average.
Primary passer Geno Smith. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (95/489). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj14.7RB15
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (RB15), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs LAC
contextvs LAC: 2 games, 9.8 PPR avg
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share21%
Opportunities29
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
95Hard
#31 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
98Average
#21 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
96Hard
#31 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextquestionable
Over/under: 48.3 (4th highest) Win probability: Texans 53% (15th highest) Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders Projected score: Raiders 24, Dolphins 18 Lineup locks: Ashton Jeanty, De'Von Achane, Brock Bowers Fantasy scoop: Jeanty (ankle) is
source ↗- 2026 NFL Power Rankings: Week 2nfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-15
- Ashton Jeanty: We're building a new culture that's going to win gameswww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-14
- AFC Notes: Patrick Mahomes, Davis Webb, Sean Payton, Broncos, Chargers, Chiefs, Raidersnfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-14
- Brock Bowers considered day-to-day entering Week 2www.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-14
- Raiders lead Dolphins 17-6 at halftimewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-13
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
14.4 PPR/g · best 33.5
12
1
7
2
6
✗
3
34
✓
4
16
✓
5
17
✓
6
4
✗
7
20
✓
9
15
✓
10
9
✗
11
25
✓
12
12
✓
13
6
✗
14
8
✗
15
32
✓
16
9
✓
17
12
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1716.4 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 14.4 season averageour calls: 2/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs MIA | 23 | 102 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 2 | 0% | 21% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vsKC | 26 | 87 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 97% | 19% | 12.4 | 10.9 | 9.4 |
| 2025 W17 | vsNYG | 16 | 60 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 81% | 7% | 9.3 | 8.3 | 7.3 |
| 2025 W16 | @HOU | 24 | 128 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 1 | 93% | 9% | 31.8 | 31.3 | 30.8 |
| 2025 W15 | @PHI | 9 | 35 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 71% | 24% | 8.2 | 6.2 | 4.2 |
| 2025 W14 | vsDEN | 10 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 70% | 14% | 5.8 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 2025 W13 | @LAC | 15 | 31 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 0 | 96% | 36% | 12.1 | 9.1 | 6.1 |
| 2025 W12 | vsCLE | 17 | 50 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 1 | 81% | 19% | 24.8 | 20.8 | 16.8 |
| 2025 W11 | vsDAL | 6 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 73% | 21% | 9.4 | 6.4 | 3.4 |
| 2025 W10 | @DEN | 19 | 60 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 87% | 20% | 15.3 | 13.8 | 12.3 |
| 2025 W9 | vsJAX | 13 | 42 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 1 | 91% | 13% | 19.9 | 17.4 | 14.9 |
| 2025 W7 | @KC | 6 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 63% | 6% | 4.4 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| 2025 W6 | vsTEN | 23 | 75 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 79% | 18% | 16.6 | 15.6 | 14.6 |
| 2025 W5 | @IND | 14 | 67 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 54% | 19% | 15.9 | 13.4 | 10.9 |
| 2025 W4 | vsCHI | 21 | 138 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 85% | 10% | 33.5 | 32.5 | 31.5 |
| 2025 W3 | @WSH | 17 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61% | 0% | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
| 2025 W2 | vsLAC | 11 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 56% | 9% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W1 | @NE | 19 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 86% | 6% | – | – | – |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim67%hit rate
15 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 67%
of 9 Start calls
🟡 67%
of 6 Flex calls
Based on 15 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | KC | START | 13.8 | RB17 (12.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | NYG | START | 15.4 | RB24 (9.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | HOU | FLEX | 13.0 | RB3 (31.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | PHI | FLEX | 13.3 | RB33 (8.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | DEN | START | 15.4 | RB42 (5.8) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | LAC | START | 15.9 | RB24 (12.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | CLE | FLEX | 13.5 | RB4 (24.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | DAL | START | 15.3 | RB30 (9.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | DEN | FLEX | 13.7 | RB15 (15.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | JAX | START | 15.6 | RB5 (19.9) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade