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Jahmyr Gibbs
RB · DET
START
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, high-scoring game, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
DEEP STAT BOARD
Fantasy 2026 Pass-Catching Running Backs: The PPR Floor the Goal-Line Board Misses
FFMatchup · Sep 14, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Bye-week punt strategy 2026: when to sacrifice an early week for a better roster
FFMatchup · Aug 24, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
The RB Age Cliff Meets 2026 ADP: Where the Board Is Buying Age
FFMatchup · Aug 9, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Sam LaPorta Fantasy 2026: Is the Detroit Tight End a Bounce-Back Buy?
FFMatchup · Aug 5, 2026
DEEP STAT
The Goal-Line Running Backs: Who Owns the Touchdown Equity for 2026
FFMatchup · Jul 26, 2026
2026 PLAYER OUTLOOK
Jahmyr Gibbs 2026 Outlook: Why the Committee Does Not Matter
FFMatchup · Jul 23, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs BUF: allows 23.9 PPR/g to RB, rank 8/32 (Soft). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
DET targets to RB
BoostDET routes 35% of pass targets to RB this season (41% over the trailing 8 wk), +3.5 SD vs the league RB average.
Primary passer Jared Goff. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (132/374). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj23.2RB1
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (RB1), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs BUF
contextvs BUF: 1 game, 28.4 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W15 |  DET | vs BUF | 8 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 83 | 1 | 28.4 | 25.9 | 23.4 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share13%
Opportunities34
Signal · descriptiveOpportunity rising, production lagging (last-3-week opportunities up vs the prior three while fantasy output hasn’t followed. Often a buy-low pattern.)
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
105Easy
#1 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
104Easy
#7 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
104Easy
#1 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextquestionable
Via multiple reporters on the scene, running back Jahmyr Gibbs did not participate in Wednesday’s practice to open training camp. Jahmyr Gibbs did not practice Wednesday, likely holding in
source ↗out
Small’s departure comes after Isiah Pacheco was placed on injured reserve and leaves the team with Jahmyr Gibbs, Jacob Saylors, and Sione Vaki at running back.
source ↗- NFL Power Rankings: Our post-Week 1 poll of all 32 teams, plus the best non-QB debutswww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- Week 1 brought points galore and 'bettor-friendly trifecta' in opening Sundaywww.espn.com · 2026-09-14
- Jahmyr Gibbs had career-high 29 carries, and Dan Campbell says he can do even morewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-14
- Lions running back Isiah Pacheco had back surgery, will miss significant timewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-14
- NFC Notes: Jahmyr Gibbs, Ben Johnson, Kyler Murray, Bears, Lions, Vikingsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-14
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
21.6 PPR/g · best 55.4
15
✓
1
19
✓
2
27
✓
3
18
✓
4
17
✓
5
8
✗
6
37
✓
7
6
✗
9
38
✓
10
20
✓
11
55
✓
12
12
✗
13
37
✓
14
10
✗
15
23
✓
16
6
✗
17
20
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1713.0 PPR/g over 3 gamesbelow their 21.6 season averageour calls: 1/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs NO | 29 | 156 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 0% | 13% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | @CHI | 19 | 80 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 71% | 14% | 20.3 | 18.8 | 17.3 |
| 2025 W17 | @MIN | 17 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 69% | 10% | 6.4 | 5.4 | 4.4 |
| 2025 W16 | vsPIT | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 66 | 1 | 86% | 25% | 22.8 | 17.8 | 12.8 |
| 2025 W15 | @LAR | 13 | 38 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 81% | 18% | 9.8 | 7.8 | 5.8 |
| 2025 W14 | vsDAL | 12 | 43 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 69% | 23% | 37.0 | 33.5 | 30.0 |
| 2025 W13 | vsGB | 20 | 68 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 70% | 15% | 11.6 | 10.1 | 8.6 |
| 2025 W12 | vsNYG | 15 | 219 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 45 | 1 | 74% | 32% | 55.4 | 49.9 | 44.4 |
| 2025 W11 | @PHI | 12 | 39 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 107 | 0 | 73% | 22% | 19.6 | 17.1 | 14.6 |
| 2025 W10 | @WSH | 15 | 142 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 50% | 13% | 38.2 | 36.7 | 35.2 |
| 2025 W9 | vsMIN | 9 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 66% | 8% | 5.8 | 4.3 | 2.8 |
| 2025 W7 | vsTB | 17 | 136 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 0 | 56% | 11% | 36.8 | 35.3 | 33.8 |
| 2025 W6 | @KC | 17 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 69% | 7% | 7.5 | 7.0 | 6.5 |
| 2025 W5 | @CIN | 12 | 54 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 52% | 9% | 16.7 | 15.7 | 14.7 |
| 2025 W4 | vsCLE | 15 | 91 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 62% | 8% | 17.7 | 16.7 | 15.7 |
| 2025 W3 | @BAL | 22 | 67 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 69% | 23% | 26.9 | 24.4 | 21.9 |
| 2025 W2 | vsCHI | 12 | 94 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 56% | 11% | 19.4 | 17.9 | 16.4 |
| 2025 W1 | @GB | 9 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 66% | 26% | 15.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim82%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 78%
of 27 Start calls
🟡 100%
of 7 Flex calls
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | CHI | START | 17.1 | RB5 (20.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | MIN | START | 17.9 | RB36 (6.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | PIT | START | 21.3 | RB10 (22.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | LAR | START | 21.1 | RB28 (9.8) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | DAL | START | 21.7 | RB1 (37.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | GB | START | 20.2 | RB25 (11.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W12 | NYG | START | 19.2 | RB1 (55.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | PHI | START | 16.0 | RB10 (19.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | WSH | START | 15.3 | RB3 (38.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | MIN | START | 16.1 | RB36 (5.8) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade