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Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN
START
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: heavy usage
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
22.0
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs GB: allows 31.1 PPR/g to WR, rank 15/32 (Average). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs GB
contextvs GB: 5 games, 15.2 PPR avg
Small sample (5 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %76%
Target share38%
Opportunities12
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
104Easy
#3 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
111Easy
#3 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
104Easy
#3 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- The six late-round draft fliers to know: Tyler Sho...www.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- Stacking the most impactful NFL offseason moves: 5...www.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- What's at stake for Vikings this season? Here are ...www.espn.com · 2026-07-24
- 2026 Fantasy Football: Bounce-back candidates for draftswww.pff.com · 2026-07-23
- NFL Trade Rumors Top 100 Players: 20-11nfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-23
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vs GB | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 76% | 38% | 18.4 |
| 2025 W17 | vs DET | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | – | – | 98% | 36% | 7.0 |
| 2025 W16 | @ NYG | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 | – | – | 95% | 35% | 14.5 |
| 2025 W15 | @ DAL | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 | – | – | 96% | 33% | 4.2 |
| 2025 W14 | vs WSH | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | – | – | 80% | 17% | 3.1 |
| 2025 W13 | @ SEA | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | – | – | 96% | 21% | 2.4 |
| 2025 W12 | @GB | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 | – | – | 100% | 33% | 8.8 |
| 2025 W11 | vs CHI | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 | – | – | 100% | 28% | 11.1 |
| 2025 W10 | vs BAL | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 | – | – | 100% | 29% | 7.7 |
| 2025 W9 | @DET | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 | – | – | 95% | 39% | 16.7 |
| 2025 W8 | @ LAC | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 | – | – | 88% | 37% | 14.4 |
| 2025 W7 | vs PHI | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 | – | – | 99% | 26% | 12.9 |
| 2025 W5 | @ CLE | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 | – | – | 100% | 32% | 19.3 |
| 2025 W4 | @ PIT | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 | – | – | 100% | 26% | 22.6 |
| 2025 W3 | vs CIN | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 | – | – | 80% | 29% | 12.5 |
| 2025 W2 | vs ATL | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 | – | – | 100% | 29% | 11.1 |
| 2025 W1 | @CHI | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 98% | 35% | 14.8 |
| 2024 W18 | @DET | 9 | 3 | 54 | 0 | – | – | 98% | 24% | 8.4 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim53%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 58%
of 24 Start calls
🟡 44%
of 9 Flex calls
🔴 0%
of 1 Sit call
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | GB | START | 12.0 | WR9 (18.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | DET | FLEX | 10.6 | WR51 (7.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | NYG | SIT | 10.4 | WR20 (14.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | DAL | FLEX | 10.7 | WR75 (4.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | WSH | FLEX | 12.4 | WR76 (3.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | SEA | FLEX | 13.4 | WR85 (2.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W12 | GB | START | 14.5 | WR37 (8.8) | ✗ |
| 2025 W11 | CHI | START | 15.5 | WR26 (11.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | BAL | START | 15.9 | WR42 (7.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | DET | START | 15.7 | WR18 (16.7) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade