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Nico Collins
WR · HOU
FLEX
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, high-scoring game, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
DRAFT STRATEGY
Draft the Role, Not the Line: The Best Fantasy Bets on 2026's Worst Offensive Lines
FFMatchup · Aug 11, 2026
DEEP-STAT SPLIT
Nico Collins vs Jayden Higgins: How Houston Splits Its Air Yards in 2026
FFMatchup · Aug 3, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Nico Collins Fantasy 2026: Houston's Downfield Alpha Is a Second-Round Bet
FFMatchup · Aug 3, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs CIN: allows 25.6 PPR/g to WR, rank 30/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
HOU targets to WR
HOU routes 63% of pass targets to WR this season (63% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.7 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer C.J. Stroud. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (345/551). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj15.4WR11
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR11), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs CIN
contextNo prior games vs CIN in the record.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share27%
Opportunities11
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
106Easy
#2 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
97Average
#20 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
104Easy
#2 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole changesnaps ↓
Last season, Houston had Nico Collins as its X receiver, Higgins and Xavier Hutchinson in a rotation as the Z receiver and Christian Kirk in a rotation with Jaylin Noel in the slot. - The Texans rested their top few veterans, including runn
source ↗role changesnaps ↓
Last season, Houston had Nico Collins as its X receiver, Higgins and Xavier Hutchinson in a rotation as the Z receiver and Christian Kirk in a rotation with Jaylin Noel in the slot. - The Texans rested their top few veterans, including runn
source ↗- Let's kick off NFL Week 2: Seven things Solak thinks -- including that Houston's offense could be decentwww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- David Montgomery gives Texans 7-3 leadwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-13
- Bills lead Texans 24-21 at halftimewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-13
- NFL Week 1: Same-game parlays to targetwww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
15.1 PPR/g · best 24.2
6
✓
1
14
✓
2
22
✗
3
12
✗
4
16
✓
5
7
✗
7
15
✓
9
23
✓
10
24
✓
11
9
✗
12
22
✓
13
16
✓
14
24
✓
15
10
✗
16
9
✗
17
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1714.0 PPR/g over 3 gamesbelow their 15.1 season averageour calls: 1/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vsBUF | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0% | 27% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W17 | @LAC | 4 | 3 | 57 | 0 | – | – | 68% | 15% | 8.7 | 7.2 | 5.7 |
| 2025 W16 | vsLV | 9 | 4 | 59 | 0 | – | – | 80% | 27% | 9.9 | 7.9 | 5.9 |
| 2025 W15 | vsARI | 4 | 3 | 85 | 2 | – | – | 73% | 15% | 23.5 | 22.0 | 20.5 |
| 2025 W14 | @KC | 8 | 4 | 121 | 0 | – | – | 81% | 30% | 16.1 | 14.1 | 12.1 |
| 2025 W13 | @IND | 10 | 5 | 98 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 75% | 31% | 21.5 | 19.0 | 16.5 |
| 2025 W12 | vsBUF | 3 | 3 | 55 | 0 | – | – | 75% | 11% | 8.5 | 7.0 | 5.5 |
| 2025 W11 | @TEN | 10 | 9 | 92 | 1 | – | – | 84% | 25% | 24.2 | 19.7 | 15.2 |
| 2025 W10 | vsJAX | 15 | 7 | 136 | 0 | – | – | 89% | 34% | 22.6 | 19.1 | 15.6 |
| 2025 W9 | vsDEN | 11 | 7 | 75 | 0 | – | – | 79% | 28% | 14.5 | 11.0 | 7.5 |
| 2025 W7 | @SEA | 10 | 4 | 27 | 0 | – | – | 51% | 22% | 6.7 | 4.7 | 2.7 |
| 2025 W5 | @BAL | 5 | 4 | 52 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 57% | 16% | 16.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 |
| 2025 W4 | vsTEN | 6 | 4 | 79 | 0 | – | – | 86% | 21% | 11.9 | 9.9 | 7.9 |
| 2025 W3 | @JAX | 11 | 8 | 104 | 1 | – | – | 86% | 31% | 22.4 | 18.4 | 14.4 |
| 2025 W2 | vsTB | 9 | 3 | 52 | 1 | – | – | 90% | 39% | 14.2 | 12.7 | 11.2 |
| 2025 W1 | @LAR | 5 | 3 | 25 | 0 | – | – | 84% | 19% | 5.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| 2024 W18 | @TEN | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1 | – | – | 18% | 18% | 14.8 | 12.3 | 9.8 |
| 2024 W17 | vsBAL | 6 | 3 | 59 | 0 | – | – | 71% | 19% | 8.9 | 7.4 | 5.9 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim63%hit rate
27 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 69%
of 13 Start calls
🟡 55%
of 11 Flex calls
🔴 67%
of 3 Sit calls
Based on 27 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | LAC | FLEX | 13.6 | WR41 (8.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | LV | FLEX | 13.1 | WR36 (9.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | ARI | START | 14.0 | WR5 (23.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | KC | START | 14.5 | WR15 (16.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | IND | START | 14.2 | WR10 (21.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | BUF | START | 14.7 | WR38 (8.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W11 | TEN | START | 13.6 | WR4 (24.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | JAX | FLEX | 11.4 | WR5 (22.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | DEN | FLEX | 12.2 | WR24 (14.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | SEA | START | 13.4 | WR57 (6.7) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade