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Jonathan Taylor
RB · IND
START
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
DEEP STAT BOARD
Fantasy 2026 Pass-Catching Running Backs: The PPR Floor the Goal-Line Board Misses
FFMatchup · Sep 14, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Fantasy 2026 Goal-Line Backs: Who Owns the Touchdown Equity (and the Committee Traps)
FFMatchup · Sep 12, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Zero-RB strategy 2026: when it works, when it backfires, and what the draft board actually says
FFMatchup · Aug 24, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
The RB Age Cliff Meets 2026 ADP: Where the Board Is Buying Age
FFMatchup · Aug 9, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Jonathan Taylor Fantasy 2026: Can He Repeat an 18-Touchdown Season?
FFMatchup · Aug 4, 2026
DEEP STAT
The Goal-Line Running Backs: Who Owns the Touchdown Equity for 2026
FFMatchup · Jul 26, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs KC: allows 19.1 PPR/g to RB, rank 27/32 (Tough). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
IND targets to RB
IND routes 15% of pass targets to RB this season (17% over the trailing 8 wk), −0.2 SD vs the league RB average.
Primary passer Daniel Jones. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (77/521). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj17.8RB5
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (RB5), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs KC
contextvs KC: 1 game, 8.6 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W12 |  IND | @ KC | 16 | 58 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 8.6 | 7.6 | 6.6 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share14%
Opportunities23
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Hard
#28 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
105Easy
#5 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Hard
#27 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextoutrole changesnaps ↑
For the Bills particularly, whose overall anxiety level will skyrocket when the single-elimination phase arrives, the prospect of the workhorse tailback tapping out due to a legitimate injury (or two) becomes more than enough reason to cons
source ↗outrole changesnaps ↑
For the Bills particularly, whose overall anxiety level will skyrocket when the single-elimination phase arrives, the prospect of the workhorse tailback tapping out due to a legitimate injury (or two) becomes more than enough reason to cons
source ↗- NFL Power Rankings: Our post-Week 1 poll of all 32 teams, plus the best non-QB debutswww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- Simone Biles arrives to hype husband Jonathan Owens at Week 1 Colts gamewww.yardbarker.com · 2026-09-15
- Week 1 brought points galore and 'bettor-friendly trifecta' in opening Sundaywww.espn.com · 2026-09-14
- Jonathan Taylor: Loss to Ravens definitely a wakeup callwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-14
- The Illusion of Progress: How the Colts Turned Hope Into a 41-23 Nightmarewww.yardbarker.com · 2026-09-14
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
21.3 PPR/g · best 49.6
13
✓
1
30
✓
2
33
✓
3
15
✓
4
32
✓
5
24
✓
6
34
✓
7
37
✓
8
8
✗
9
50
✓
10
9
✗
12
15
✓
13
11
✓
14
13
✓
15
17
✓
16
17
✓
17
6
✗
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1715.8 PPR/g over 3 gamesbelow their 21.3 season averageour calls: 3/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs BAL | 19 | 98 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0% | 14% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | @HOU | 14 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 52% | 6% | 5.9 | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| 2025 W17 | vsJAX | 21 | 70 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 89% | 21% | 17.4 | 15.9 | 14.4 |
| 2025 W16 | vsSF | 16 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 88% | 8% | 16.9 | 15.4 | 13.9 |
| 2025 W15 | @SEA | 25 | 87 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 85% | 15% | 13.1 | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| 2025 W14 | @JAX | 21 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74% | 0% | 11.4 | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| 2025 W13 | vsHOU | 21 | 85 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 98% | 20% | 15.1 | 13.6 | 12.1 |
| 2025 W12 | @KC | 16 | 58 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 90% | 10% | 8.6 | 7.6 | 6.6 |
| 2025 W10 | vsATL | 32 | 244 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 91% | 12% | 49.6 | 48.1 | 46.6 |
| 2025 W9 | @PIT | 14 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 79% | 4% | 7.7 | 6.7 | 5.7 |
| 2025 W8 | vsTEN | 12 | 153 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 75% | 7% | 37.4 | 36.4 | 35.4 |
| 2025 W7 | @LAC | 16 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 87% | 9% | 34.2 | 32.7 | 31.2 |
| 2025 W6 | vsARI | 21 | 123 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 92% | 13% | 23.7 | 21.7 | 19.7 |
| 2025 W5 | vsLV | 17 | 66 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 74% | 13% | 31.6 | 30.1 | 28.6 |
| 2025 W4 | @LAR | 17 | 76 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 87% | 16% | 14.6 | 12.1 | 9.6 |
| 2025 W3 | @TEN | 17 | 102 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 79% | 16% | 32.8 | 31.3 | 29.8 |
| 2025 W2 | vsDEN | 25 | 165 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 1 | 93% | 6% | 29.5 | 28.5 | 27.5 |
| 2025 W1 | vsMIA | 18 | 71 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 71% | 10% | 12.8 | 11.3 | 9.8 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim74%hit rate
31 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 73%
of 30 Start calls
🟡 100%
of 1 Flex call
Based on 31 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | HOU | START | 15.0 | RB42 (5.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | JAX | START | 16.4 | RB12 (17.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | SF | START | 15.5 | RB17 (16.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | SEA | START | 18.2 | RB19 (13.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | JAX | START | 19.2 | RB20 (11.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | HOU | START | 20.3 | RB18 (15.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | KC | START | 22.4 | RB28 (8.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | ATL | START | 20.6 | RB1 (49.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | PIT | START | 22.8 | RB28 (7.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W8 | TEN | START | 21.8 | RB1 (37.4) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade