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Christian McCaffrey
RB · SF
START
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, high-scoring game, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
DEEP STAT BOARD
Fantasy 2026 Pass-Catching Running Backs: The PPR Floor the Goal-Line Board Misses
FFMatchup · Sep 14, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Christian McCaffrey Fantasy 2026: Is the 49ers RB Worth an Early First-Round Pick?
FFMatchup · Sep 13, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Fantasy 2026 Goal-Line Backs: Who Owns the Touchdown Equity (and the Committee Traps)
FFMatchup · Sep 12, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Zero-RB strategy 2026: when it works, when it backfires, and what the draft board actually says
FFMatchup · Aug 24, 2026
WEEK 1 START/SIT
Week 1 Start/Sit: Our Model's Top Calls (Powered by Opportunity-Weighted DvP)
FFMatchup · Aug 9, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
The RB Age Cliff Meets 2026 ADP: Where the Board Is Buying Age
FFMatchup · Aug 9, 2026
ROOKIE WATCH
De'Zhaun Stribling Fantasy 2026: Pearsall's Injury Opens a Rookie's Path in San Francisco
FFMatchup · Aug 1, 2026
DEEP STAT
The Goal-Line Running Backs: Who Owns the Touchdown Equity for 2026
FFMatchup · Jul 26, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs MIA: allows 24.5 PPR/g to RB, rank 7/32 (Soft). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
SF targets to RB
SF routes 27% of pass targets to RB this season (23% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.8 SD vs the league RB average.
Primary passer Mac Jones. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (141/522). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj20.1RB3
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (RB3), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs MIA
contextNo prior games vs MIA in the record.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %55%
Target share24%
Opportunities18
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
101Average
#16 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
93Hard
#29 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
100Average
#14 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextquestionable
Still no RB Christian McCaffrey or DE Nick Bosa as they recover from some soreness and tendinitis, respectively. RB Christian McCaffrey watched the practice in street clothes and, like Bosa, Shanahan indicated there's no worry about the tig
source ↗questionable
Over/under: 44.1 (10th highest) Win probability: Seahawks 68% (8th highest) San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams Projected score: Rams 29, 49ers 22 Lineup locks: Christian McCaffrey, Kyren Williams, Puka Nacua, Davante Adams Fantasy scoop
source ↗- Fantasy football Week 1 booms and busts: Caleb Williams, Ja’Marr Chase and morewww.pff.com · 2026-09-15
- Looking back at NFLPA report cards -- team travel edition: Who pays for the best planes, hotels?www.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- Waiver wire: Shough, Black, Coker highlight top picks for Week 2www.espn.com · 2026-09-14
- NFC Notes: Myles Garrett, Kaelon Black, 49ers, Cardinals, Ramsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-14
- Waiver wire: Shough, Black, Coker highlight top picks for Week 2www.espn.com · 2026-09-14
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
24.5 PPR/g · best 39.1
23
✓
1
23
✓
2
24
✓
3
26
✓
4
28
✓
5
24
✓
6
39
✓
7
10
✗
8
34
✓
9
18
✓
10
35
✓
11
27
✓
12
17
✓
13
16
✓
15
33
✓
16
28
✓
17
12
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1725.5 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 24.5 season averageour calls: 3/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | @LAR | 10 | 68 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 55% | 24% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vsSEA | 8 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 86% | 28% | 11.7 | 8.7 | 5.7 |
| 2025 W17 | vsCHI | 23 | 140 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 85% | 19% | 28.1 | 26.1 | 24.1 |
| 2025 W16 | @IND | 21 | 117 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 2 | 80% | 24% | 32.6 | 29.6 | 26.6 |
| 2025 W15 | vsTEN | 22 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 84% | 4% | 15.7 | 15.2 | 14.7 |
| 2025 W13 | @CLE | 20 | 53 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 79% | 19% | 17.4 | 15.4 | 13.4 |
| 2025 W12 | vsCAR | 24 | 89 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 83% | 22% | 27.2 | 23.7 | 20.2 |
| 2025 W11 | @ARI | 13 | 81 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 1 | 71% | 26% | 35.1 | 32.6 | 30.1 |
| 2025 W10 | vsLAR | 12 | 30 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 66 | 0 | 78% | 27% | 17.6 | 13.6 | 9.6 |
| 2025 W9 | @NYG | 28 | 106 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 1 | 86% | 29% | 34.3 | 31.8 | 29.3 |
| 2025 W8 | @HOU | 8 | 25 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 96% | 21% | 9.8 | 8.3 | 6.8 |
| 2025 W7 | vsATL | 24 | 129 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 75% | 36% | 39.1 | 35.6 | 32.1 |
| 2025 W6 | @TB | 17 | 54 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 0 | 93% | 22% | 24.1 | 20.6 | 17.1 |
| 2025 W5 | @LAR | 22 | 57 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 82 | 1 | 88% | 21% | 27.9 | 23.9 | 19.9 |
| 2025 W4 | vsJAX | 17 | 49 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 92 | 1 | 85% | 32% | 26.1 | 23.1 | 20.1 |
| 2025 W3 | vsARI | 17 | 52 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 88 | 0 | 91% | 41% | 24.0 | 19.0 | 14.0 |
| 2025 W2 | @NO | 13 | 55 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 1 | 77% | 19% | 22.7 | 19.7 | 16.7 |
| 2025 W1 | @SEA | 22 | 69 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 73 | 0 | 76% | 31% | 23.2 | 18.7 | 14.2 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim86%hit rate
21 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 86%
of 21 Start calls
Based on 21 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | SEA | START | 19.8 | RB18 (11.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | CHI | START | 20.4 | RB4 (28.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | IND | START | 19.9 | RB2 (32.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | TEN | START | 20.2 | RB14 (15.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | CLE | START | 20.7 | RB12 (17.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | CAR | START | 20.8 | RB2 (27.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | ARI | START | 21.1 | RB1 (35.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | LAR | START | 21.1 | RB10 (17.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | NYG | START | 21.4 | RB1 (34.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | HOU | START | 21.7 | RB25 (9.8) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade