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Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
START
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: heavy usage, high-scoring game
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
26.0
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs IND: allows 19.9 PPR/g to RB, rank 22/32 (Average). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs IND
contextvs IND: 2 games, 17.1 PPR avg
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %71%
Target share6%
Opportunities21
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Hard
#24 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
102Average
#14 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Hard
#24 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Top Free Agent Landing Spots For RB Najee Harrisnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-23
- 10 make-or-break players for NFL contenders in 2026www.pff.com · 2026-07-22
- Ravens betting preview: New era, same high expecta...www.espn.com · 2026-07-21
- Mock draft: Non-PPR formats are a throwback to run...www.espn.com · 2026-07-20
- AFC Notes: Ja’Marr Chase, Lamar Jackson, Bengals, Ravens, Texansnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-17
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | @ PIT | 20 | 126 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71% | 6% | 12.6 |
| 2025 W17 | @ GB | 36 | 216 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63% | 0% | 45.6 |
| 2025 W16 | vs NE | 18 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44% | 0% | 22.8 |
| 2025 W15 | @ CIN | 11 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37% | 0% | 10.0 |
| 2025 W14 | vsPIT | 25 | 94 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 54% | 6% | 11.2 |
| 2025 W13 | vsCIN | 10 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 40% | 3% | 17.4 |
| 2025 W12 | vs NYJ | 21 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 56% | 10% | 22.8 |
| 2025 W11 | @ CLE | 18 | 103 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 54% | 8% | 20.2 |
| 2025 W10 | @ MIN | 20 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 67% | 10% | 11.4 |
| 2025 W9 | @ MIA | 19 | 119 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 64% | 4% | 13.1 |
| 2025 W8 | vs CHI | 21 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58% | 5% | 19.1 |
| 2025 W6 | vs LAR | 24 | 122 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 49% | 6% | 14.0 |
| 2025 W5 | vs HOU | 15 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65% | 5% | 9.3 |
| 2025 W4 | @ KC | 8 | 42 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 40% | 10% | 7.8 |
| 2025 W3 | vs DET | 12 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 49% | 4% | 10.7 |
| 2025 W2 | vsCLE | 11 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61% | 0% | 2.3 |
| 2025 W1 | @ BUF | 18 | 169 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 57% | 5% | 29.2 |
| 2024 W18 | vsCLE | 20 | 138 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 70% | 10% | 30.1 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim79%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 85%
of 20 Start calls
🟡 77%
of 13 Flex calls
🔴 0%
of 1 Sit call
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | PIT | START | 16.0 | RB15 (12.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | GB | FLEX | 11.4 | RB1 (45.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | NE | FLEX | 13.0 | RB9 (22.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | CIN | START | 15.1 | RB27 (10.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | PIT | START | 14.6 | RB22 (11.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | CIN | START | 16.1 | RB11 (17.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | NYJ | START | 15.6 | RB5 (22.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | CLE | FLEX | 13.7 | RB8 (20.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | MIN | START | 14.0 | RB22 (11.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | MIA | START | 13.2 | RB14 (13.1) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade