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Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
START
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, high-scoring game, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Derrick Henry Fantasy 2026: Is the Ravens RB Still an Elite Fantasy Bet?
FFMatchup · Sep 14, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Fantasy 2026 Goal-Line Backs: Who Owns the Touchdown Equity (and the Committee Traps)
FFMatchup · Sep 12, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Zero-RB strategy 2026: when it works, when it backfires, and what the draft board actually says
FFMatchup · Aug 24, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
The RB Age Cliff Meets 2026 ADP: Where the Board Is Buying Age
FFMatchup · Aug 9, 2026
DEEP STAT
The Goal-Line Running Backs: Who Owns the Touchdown Equity for 2026
FFMatchup · Jul 26, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs NO: allows 20.7 PPR/g to RB, rank 20/32 (Average). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
BAL targets to RB
BAL routes 17% of pass targets to RB this season (17% over the trailing 8 wk), −0.2 SD vs the league RB average.
Primary passer Lamar Jackson. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (70/404). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj14.9RB14
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (RB14), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs NO
contextvs NO: 1 game, 13.9 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 W1 |  TEN· prior | @ NO | 15 | 63 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 56 | 0 | 13.9 | 12.9 | 11.9 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share4%
Opportunities25
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
99Average
#22 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
102Average
#14 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Hard
#24 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- PFT's Week 2 2026 NFL power rankingswww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-15
- Fantasy football Week 1 booms and busts: Caleb Williams, Ja’Marr Chase and morewww.pff.com · 2026-09-15
- 2026 NFL Power Rankings: Week 2nfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-15
- NFL Power Rankings: Our post-Week 1 poll of all 32 teams, plus the best non-QB debutswww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- Lamar Jackson looks like old self in Ravens' new offensewww.espn.com · 2026-09-14
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
16.4 PPR/g · best 45.6
29
✓
1
2
✗
2
11
✓
3
8
✗
4
9
✗
5
14
✗
6
19
✓
8
13
✓
9
11
✓
10
20
✓
11
23
✓
12
17
✓
13
11
✓
14
10
✗
15
23
✓
16
46
✓
17
13
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1726.1 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 16.4 season averageour calls: 2/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | @ IND | 24 | 144 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 4% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | @PIT | 20 | 126 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71% | 6% | 12.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| 2025 W17 | @GB | 36 | 216 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63% | 0% | 45.6 | 45.6 | 45.6 |
| 2025 W16 | vsNE | 18 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44% | 0% | 22.8 | 22.8 | 22.8 |
| 2025 W15 | @CIN | 11 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37% | 0% | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| 2025 W14 | vsPIT | 25 | 94 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 54% | 6% | 11.2 | 10.7 | 10.2 |
| 2025 W13 | vsCIN | 10 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 40% | 3% | 17.4 | 16.9 | 16.4 |
| 2025 W12 | vsNYJ | 21 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 56% | 10% | 22.8 | 21.8 | 20.8 |
| 2025 W11 | @CLE | 18 | 103 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 54% | 8% | 20.2 | 19.2 | 18.2 |
| 2025 W10 | @MIN | 20 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 67% | 10% | 11.4 | 9.9 | 8.4 |
| 2025 W9 | @MIA | 19 | 119 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 64% | 4% | 13.1 | 12.6 | 12.1 |
| 2025 W8 | vsCHI | 21 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58% | 5% | 19.1 | 19.1 | 19.1 |
| 2025 W6 | vsLAR | 24 | 122 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 49% | 6% | 14.0 | 13.5 | 13.0 |
| 2025 W5 | vsHOU | 15 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65% | 5% | 9.3 | 9.3 | 9.3 |
| 2025 W4 | @KC | 8 | 42 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 40% | 10% | 7.8 | 6.8 | 5.8 |
| 2025 W3 | vsDET | 12 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 49% | 4% | 10.7 | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| 2025 W2 | vsCLE | 11 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61% | 0% | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 2025 W1 | @BUF | 18 | 169 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 57% | 5% | 29.2 | 28.7 | 28.2 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim79%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 85%
of 20 Start calls
🟡 77%
of 13 Flex calls
🔴 0%
of 1 Sit call
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | PIT | START | 16.0 | RB15 (12.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | GB | FLEX | 11.4 | RB1 (45.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | NE | FLEX | 13.0 | RB9 (22.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | CIN | START | 15.1 | RB27 (10.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | PIT | START | 14.6 | RB22 (11.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | CIN | START | 16.1 | RB11 (17.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | NYJ | START | 15.6 | RB5 (22.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | CLE | FLEX | 13.7 | RB8 (20.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | MIN | START | 14.0 | RB22 (11.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | MIA | START | 13.2 | RB14 (13.1) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade