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Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA
START
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: heavy usage, high-scoring game
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
24.2
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs NE: allows 28.7 PPR/g to WR, rank 20/32 (Average). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs NE
contextvs NE: 1 game, 23.7 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W2 |  SEA | @ NE | 16 | 12 | 117 | 0 | 23.7 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %83%
Target share31%
Opportunities8
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
103Easy
#8 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
94Hard
#26 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
103Easy
#8 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Garrett, Allen and more: Who made the 'Madden 27' ...www.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- From Myles Garrett to Travis Kelce: Here are the s...www.espn.com · 2026-07-27
- Despite no second contract, Puka Nacua apparently won't be holding inwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-26
- Slivon’s Slant: Bucs 2026 Training Camp Previewwww.pewterreport.com · 2026-07-25
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: We're ready for the next thingwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-25
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | @ SF | 8 | 6 | 84 | 0 | – | – | 83% | 31% | 14.4 |
| 2025 W17 | @ CAR | 12 | 9 | 72 | 0 | – | – | 89% | 46% | 16.2 |
| 2025 W16 | vs LAR | 13 | 8 | 96 | 1 | – | – | 96% | 42% | 23.6 |
| 2025 W15 | vs IND | 9 | 7 | 113 | 0 | – | – | 92% | 28% | 18.3 |
| 2025 W14 | @ ATL | 10 | 7 | 92 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 72% | 33% | 28.1 |
| 2025 W13 | vs MIN | 4 | 2 | 23 | 0 | – | – | 82% | 17% | 4.3 |
| 2025 W12 | @ TEN | 10 | 8 | 167 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 79% | 40% | 37.1 |
| 2025 W11 | @LAR | 12 | 9 | 105 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 83% | 29% | 20.6 |
| 2025 W10 | vs ARI | 6 | 5 | 93 | 1 | – | – | 42% | 50% | 20.3 |
| 2025 W9 | @ WSH | 9 | 8 | 129 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 67% | 38% | 22.0 |
| 2025 W7 | vs HOU | 14 | 8 | 123 | 1 | – | – | 88% | 48% | 26.3 |
| 2025 W6 | @ JAX | 13 | 8 | 162 | 1 | – | – | 82% | 54% | 30.2 |
| 2025 W5 | vs TB | 9 | 8 | 132 | 1 | – | – | 90% | 27% | 27.2 |
| 2025 W4 | @ARI | 5 | 4 | 79 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 80% | 21% | 13.0 |
| 2025 W3 | vs NO | 6 | 5 | 96 | 1 | – | – | 49% | 30% | 20.6 |
| 2025 W2 | @ PIT | 10 | 8 | 103 | 0 | – | – | 65% | 33% | 18.3 |
| 2025 W1 | vsSF | 13 | 9 | 124 | 0 | – | – | 77% | 59% | 19.4 |
| 2024 W18 | @LAR | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 95% | 19% | 5.3 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim74%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 77%
of 22 Start calls
🟡 57%
of 7 Flex calls
🔴 80%
of 5 Sit calls
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | SF | START | 18.4 | WR15 (14.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | CAR | START | 15.7 | WR12 (16.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | LAR | START | 16.0 | WR6 (23.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | IND | START | 16.9 | WR13 (18.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | ATL | START | 16.2 | WR3 (28.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | MIN | START | 18.7 | WR71 (4.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W12 | TEN | START | 18.6 | WR1 (37.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | LAR | START | 19.8 | WR7 (20.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | ARI | START | 20.2 | WR9 (20.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | WSH | START | 18.9 | WR7 (22.0) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade