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Dalton Kincaid
TE · BUF
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: limited usage
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs DET: allows 13.7 PPR/g to TE, rank 13/32 (Average). Trailing TE PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
BUF targets to TE
BUF routes 25% of pass targets to TE this season (26% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.1 SD vs the league TE average.
Primary passer Josh Allen. 2025 share of pass targets to TE (120/476). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj8.8TE17
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (TE17), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs DET
contextvs DET: 1 game, 9.3 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W15 |  BUF | @ DET | 7 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 9.3 | 7.3 | 5.3 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share21%
Opportunities6
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Average
#22 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
108Easy
#8 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Average
#22 of 32 · 17 games
TEschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Fantasy Football Rankings: NFL Week 2www.pff.com · 2026-09-15
- Let's kick off NFL Week 2: Seven things Solak thinks -- including that Houston's offense could be decentwww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- NFL Week 1: Team of the Week & Player Awardswww.pff.com · 2026-09-14
- Fantasy Football Usage & Production Reportwww.pff.com · 2026-09-14
- Josh Allen, Bills deliver offensive gem to foil Texans in season openerwww.pff.com · 2026-09-14
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
10.5 PPR/g · best 22.1
15
✗
1
8
✓
2
18
✗
3
10
✓
4
17
✗
5
3
✗
8
22
✗
9
6
✓
10
14
✓
14
6
✓
15
0
✓
16
8
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–173.2 PPR/g over 2 gamesbelow their 10.5 season averageour calls: 2/2 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | @ HOU | 6 | 5 | 130 | 0 | 0% | 21% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vsNYJ | 3 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 13% | 11% | 7.8 | 6.3 | 4.8 |
| 2025 W16 | @CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38% | 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W15 | @NE | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 36% | 15% | 6.4 | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| 2025 W14 | vsCIN | 5 | 4 | 41 | 1 | 34% | 19% | 14.1 | 12.1 | 10.1 |
| 2025 W10 | @MIA | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 26% | 8% | 5.7 | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| 2025 W9 | vsKC | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1 | 35% | 24% | 22.1 | 19.1 | 16.1 |
| 2025 W8 | @CAR | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 22% | 13% | 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 2025 W5 | vsNE | 6 | 6 | 108 | 0 | 54% | 20% | 16.8 | 13.8 | 10.8 |
| 2025 W4 | vsNO | 2 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 37% | 9% | 9.8 | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| 2025 W3 | vsMIA | 6 | 5 | 66 | 1 | 55% | 22% | 17.6 | 15.1 | 12.6 |
| 2025 W2 | @NYJ | 6 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 48% | 24% | 7.7 | 5.7 | 3.7 |
| 2025 W1 | vsBAL | 4 | 4 | 48 | 1 | 51% | 9% | 14.8 | 12.8 | 10.8 |
| 2024 W17 | vsNYJ | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 44% | 7% | 4.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 2024 W16 | vsNE | 7 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 34% | 26% | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 2024 W15 | @DET | 7 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 49% | 22% | 9.3 | 7.3 | 5.3 |
| 2024 W10 | @ IND | 5 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 24% | 14% | 4.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 2024 W9 | vsMIA | 10 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 79% | 28% | 7.2 | 5.2 | 3.2 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim44%hit rate
25 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 50%
of 2 Start calls
🟡 25%
of 12 Flex calls
🔴 64%
of 11 Sit calls
Based on 25 graded calls.
Recent calls
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade