
Why: soft matchup
vs HOU: allows 25.5 PPR/g to WR, rank 31/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
Primary passer Joe Burrow. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (367/605). Descriptive context, never a model input.
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR9), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
No prior games vs HOU in the record.
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
For example, the Cincinnati Bengals are looking to secure their third receiving option behind Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, while the Cleveland Browns, Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings are all still trying to decide which quarterback
source ↗For example, the Cincinnati Bengals are looking to secure their third receiving option behind Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, while the Cleveland Browns, Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings are all still trying to decide which quarterback
source ↗| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs | 6 | 3 | 59 | 0 | 0% | 18% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vs | 9 | 6 | 67 | 1 | 87% | 24% | 18.7 | 15.7 | 12.7 |
| 2025 W17 | vs | 5 | 4 | 59 | 0 | 57% | 16% | 9.9 | 7.9 | 5.9 |
| 2025 W16 | @ | 3 | 3 | 53 | 1 | 62% | 10% | 14.3 | 12.8 | 11.3 |
| 2025 W14 | @ | 11 | 6 | 92 | 2 | 73% | 31% | 27.2 | 24.2 | 21.2 |
| 2025 W12 | vs | 6 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 77% | 18% | 8.1 | 5.6 | 3.1 |
| 2025 W11 | @ | 8 | 3 | 63 | 1 | 92% | 21% | 15.3 | 13.8 | 12.3 |
| 2025 W9 | vs | 9 | 7 | 121 | 2 | 82% | 20% | 33.1 | 29.6 | 26.1 |
| 2025 W8 | vs | 2 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 88% | 6% | 11.4 | 10.9 | 10.4 |
| 2025 W7 | vs | 10 | 6 | 96 | 1 | 87% | 22% | 21.6 | 18.6 | 15.6 |
| 2025 W6 | @ | 8 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 80% | 20% | 11.2 | 8.7 | 6.2 |
| 2025 W5 | vs | 7 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 97% | 18% | 11.2 | 9.7 | 8.2 |
| 2025 W4 | @ | 6 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 83% | 27% | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| 2025 W3 | @ | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 82% | 8% | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 2025 W2 | vs | 8 | 3 | 56 | 1 | 87% | 19% | 14.6 | 13.1 | 11.6 |
| 2025 W1 | @ | 4 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 79% | 17% | 6.3 | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| 2024 W18 | @ | 5 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 68% | 11% | 9.3 | 7.3 | 5.3 |
| 2024 W17 | vs | 12 | 11 | 131 | 3 | 69% | 25% | 40.1 | 34.6 | 29.1 |
Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Based on 27 graded calls.
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | FLEX | 11.7 | WR8 (18.7) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W17 | FLEX | 13.0 | WR35 (9.9) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W16 | START | 14.8 | WR21 (14.3) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W14 | FLEX | 12.1 | WR4 (27.2) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W12 | FLEX | 13.2 | WR40 (8.1) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W11 | START | 12.9 | WR15 (15.3) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W9 | FLEX | 11.6 | WR2 (33.1) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W8 | FLEX | 12.3 | WR33 (11.4) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W7 | SIT | 9.4 | WR13 (21.6) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W6 | SIT | 9.1 | WR28 (11.2) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade