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Josh Allen
QB · BUF
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
23.0
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs HOU: allows 12.7 PPR/g to QB, rank 30/32 (Tough). Trailing QB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs HOU
contextvs HOU: 2 games, 11.4 PPR avg
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %1%
Target share0%
Opportunities0
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Average
#22 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
101Average
#13 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Average
#22 of 32 · 17 games
QBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole change
Broncos Broncos OC Davis Webb was reminded about his time with the Bills when the team traded for WR Stefon Diggs to pair with QB Josh Allen, given that Denver traded for WR Jaylen Waddle to pair with QB Bo Nix. “There are some similarities
source ↗- Former Bucs DB Eyeing A Return To NFL In 2026www.pewterreport.com · 2026-07-28
- Garrett, Allen and more: Who made the 'Madden 27' ...www.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- Stacking the most impactful NFL offseason moves: 5...www.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- 2026 Fantasy Football Rankings: Superflex top 200 for draftswww.pff.com · 2026-07-28
- Josh Allen closing in on 5,000 career rushing yardswww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-28
Game log
context| Week | Opp | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vs NYJ | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0.0 |
| 2025 W17 | vs PHI | 23/35 | 262 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 23.2 |
| 2025 W16 | @ CLE | 12/19 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 6.9 |
| 2025 W15 | @ NE | 19/28 | 193 | 3 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 24.5 |
| 2025 W14 | vs CIN | 22/28 | 251 | 3 | 0 | 78 | 1 | 37.8 |
| 2025 W13 | @ PIT | 15/23 | 123 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 16.7 |
| 2025 W12 | @ HOU | 24/34 | 253 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 8.1 |
| 2025 W11 | vs TB | 19/30 | 317 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 3 | 42.7 |
| 2025 W10 | @ MIA | 28/40 | 306 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 19.3 |
| 2025 W9 | vs KC | 23/26 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 28.8 |
| 2025 W8 | @ CAR | 12/19 | 163 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 23.2 |
| 2025 W6 | @ ATL | 15/26 | 180 | 2 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 15.4 |
| 2025 W5 | vsNE | 22/31 | 253 | 2 | 1 | 53 | 0 | 19.4 |
| 2025 W4 | vs NO | 16/22 | 209 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 24.9 |
| 2025 W3 | vsMIA | 22/28 | 213 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 23.0 |
| 2025 W2 | @NYJ | 14/25 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 11.8 |
| 2025 W1 | vs BAL | 33/46 | 394 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 38.8 |
| 2024 W18 | @NE | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0.0 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim59%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 59%
of 27 Start calls
🟡 67%
of 6 Flex calls
🔴 0%
of 1 Sit call
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | NYJ | START | 20.9 | QB40 (0.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | PHI | START | 19.8 | QB5 (23.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | CLE | START | 20.4 | QB26 (6.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | NE | START | 21.2 | QB7 (24.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | CIN | START | 20.8 | QB1 (37.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | PIT | START | 19.4 | QB14 (16.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W12 | HOU | START | 20.3 | QB20 (8.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W11 | TB | START | 18.7 | QB1 (42.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | MIA | START | 20.2 | QB10 (19.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | KC | FLEX | 18.8 | QB3 (28.8) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade