
Why: high-scoring game, soft matchup
vs CIN: allows 20.9 PPR/g to TE, rank 1/32 (Soft). Trailing TE PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
Primary passer C.J. Stroud. 2025 share of pass targets to TE (130/551). Descriptive context, never a model input.
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (TE18), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 W10 | @ | 6 | 4 | 71 | 0 | 11.1 | 9.1 | 7.1 |
Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
TEschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs | 8 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 0% | 22% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vs | 4 | 4 | 73 | 0 | 56% | 14% | 11.3 | 9.3 | 7.3 |
| 2025 W17 | @ | 4 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 78% | 15% | 4.9 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 2025 W16 | vs | 5 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 71% | 15% | 14.5 | 12.0 | 9.5 |
| 2025 W15 | vs | 9 | 8 | 76 | 1 | 79% | 35% | 21.6 | 17.6 | 13.6 |
| 2025 W14 | @ | 4 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 74% | 15% | 5.2 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| 2025 W13 | @ | 8 | 7 | 55 | 0 | 72% | 25% | 12.5 | 9.0 | 5.5 |
| 2025 W12 | vs | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 81% | 14% | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 2025 W11 | @ | 9 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 69% | 23% | 11.1 | 8.1 | 5.1 |
| 2025 W10 | vs | 11 | 7 | 53 | 1 | 77% | 25% | 18.3 | 14.8 | 11.3 |
| 2025 W9 | vs | 8 | 6 | 77 | 0 | 79% | 21% | 13.7 | 10.7 | 7.7 |
| 2025 W8 | vs | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 61% | 8% | 4.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 2025 W7 | @ | 10 | 9 | 98 | 0 | 75% | 22% | 18.8 | 14.3 | 9.8 |
| 2025 W5 | @ | 6 | 5 | 60 | 0 | 59% | 19% | 11.0 | 8.5 | 6.0 |
| 2025 W4 | vs | 6 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 85% | 21% | 8.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 |
| 2025 W3 | @ | 6 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 79% | 17% | 8.9 | 6.4 | 3.9 |
| 2025 W2 | vs | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 59% | 17% | 5.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 |
| 2025 W1 | @ | 5 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 54% | 19% | 5.8 | 4.3 | 2.8 |
Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Based on 34 graded calls.
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | START | 10.1 | TE10 (11.3) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W17 | START | 10.9 | TE31 (4.9) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W16 | FLEX | 10.6 | TE10 (14.5) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W15 | FLEX | 9.3 | TE7 (21.6) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W14 | START | 10.8 | TE23 (5.2) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W13 | START | 10.8 | TE9 (12.5) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W12 | FLEX | 10.2 | TE44 (1.8) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W11 | FLEX | 10.7 | TE8 (11.1) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W10 | FLEX | 9.6 | TE4 (18.3) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W9 | FLEX | 9.4 | TE7 (13.7) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade