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Mike Evans
WR · SF
FLEX
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: high-scoring game, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs MIA: allows 29.4 PPR/g to WR, rank 19/32 (Average). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
SF targets to WR
DowngradeSF routes 48% of pass targets to WR this season (47% over the trailing 8 wk), −1.1 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer Mac Jones. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (251/522). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj11.8WR29
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR29), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs MIA
contextvs MIA: 1 game, 12.1 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 |  TB· prior | @ MIA | 7 | 3 | 31 | 1 | 12.1 | 10.6 | 9.1 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %75%
Target share21%
Opportunities7
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Average
#20 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
88Hard
#32 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
99Average
#20 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextout
With Ricky Pearsall out for the season, the rookie will compete with Mike Evans (33 years old), Deebo Samuel Sr.
source ↗out
However, popular rookie De'Zhaun Stribling (ankle) is out for at least a month and veterans Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel Sr.
source ↗- NFL Power Rankings: Our post-Week 1 poll of all 32 teams, plus the best non-QB debutswww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- Looking back at NFLPA report cards -- team travel edition: Who pays for the best planes, hotels?www.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- Morning Report: Stats and Sounds from the Game at Melbourne Cricket Ground 🗞️www.49ers.com · 2026-09-15
- 'Exactly What We Expected': Mike Evans Shines in 49ers Debutwww.49ers.com · 2026-09-14
- Waiver wire: Shough, Black, Coker highlight top picks for Week 2www.espn.com · 2026-09-14
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
10.6 PPR/g · best 19.2
10
✗
1
11
✗
2
13
✗
3
0
✗
7
19
✓
15
14
✓
16
12
✗
17
5
✗
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1715.1 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 10.6 season averageour calls: 2/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | @ LAR | 7 | 6 | 49 | 1 | 75% | 21% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vsCAR | 2 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 75% | 9% | 5.4 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| 2025 W17 | @MIA | 7 | 3 | 31 | 1 | 75% | 16% | 12.1 | 10.6 | 9.1 |
| 2025 W16 | @CAR | 9 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 66% | 36% | 14.1 | 11.6 | 9.1 |
| 2025 W15 | vsATL | 12 | 6 | 132 | 0 | 55% | 38% | 19.2 | 16.2 | 13.2 |
| 2025 W7 | @DET | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20% | 8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W3 | vsNYJ | 8 | 4 | 33 | 1 | 72% | 29% | 13.3 | 11.3 | 9.3 |
| 2025 W2 | @HOU | 11 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 79% | 31% | 10.6 | 8.1 | 5.6 |
| 2025 W1 | @ATL | 8 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 83% | 27% | 10.1 | 7.6 | 5.1 |
| 2024 W18 | vs NO | 14 | 9 | 89 | 0 | 88% | 45% | 17.9 | 13.4 | 8.9 |
| 2024 W17 | vsCAR | 9 | 8 | 97 | 2 | 62% | 28% | 29.7 | 25.7 | 21.7 |
| 2024 W16 | @ DAL | 8 | 5 | 69 | 0 | 81% | 19% | 11.9 | 9.4 | 6.9 |
| 2024 W15 | @ LAC | 11 | 9 | 159 | 2 | 65% | 42% | 36.9 | 32.4 | 27.9 |
| 2024 W14 | vs LV | 5 | 4 | 69 | 0 | 82% | 18% | 10.9 | 8.9 | 6.9 |
| 2024 W13 | @CAR | 12 | 8 | 118 | 1 | 84% | 35% | 25.8 | 21.8 | 17.8 |
| 2024 W12 | @ NYG | 6 | 5 | 68 | 0 | 60% | 20% | 11.8 | 9.3 | 6.8 |
| 2024 W7 | vs BAL | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 28% | 7% | 9.5 | 9.0 | 8.5 |
| 2024 W6 | @NO | 6 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 57% | 17% | 5.4 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim27%hit rate
22 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 29%
of 7 Start calls
🟡 33%
of 12 Flex calls
🔴 0%
of 3 Sit calls
Based on 22 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | CAR | FLEX | 11.3 | WR51 (5.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | MIA | FLEX | 12.1 | WR26 (12.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | CAR | FLEX | 11.9 | WR23 (14.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | ATL | FLEX | 10.9 | WR11 (19.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | DET | START | 14.9 | WR104 (0.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W3 | NYJ | START | 15.8 | WR27 (13.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W2 | HOU | START | 14.8 | WR39 (10.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W1 | ATL | START | 17.7 | WR35 (10.1) | ✗ |
| 2024 W18 | NO | START | 16.1 | WR16 (17.9) | ✓ |
| 2024 W17 | CAR | START | 16.3 | WR5 (29.7) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade