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Travis Kelce
TE · KC
FLEX
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, high-scoring game, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
PLAYER OUTLOOK
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PLAYER OUTLOOK
Travis Kelce Fantasy 2026: Is the Chiefs TE Still Worth a TE9 Price?
FFMatchup · Aug 16, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
Draft the Role, Not the Line: The Best Fantasy Bets on 2026's Worst Offensive Lines
FFMatchup · Aug 11, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs IND: allows 15.1 PPR/g to TE, rank 7/32 (Soft). Trailing TE PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
KC targets to TE
BoostKC routes 31% of pass targets to TE this season (33% over the trailing 8 wk), +1.2 SD vs the league TE average.
Primary passer Patrick Mahomes. 2025 share of pass targets to TE (148/473). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj9.9TE11
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (TE11), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs IND
contextvs IND: 1 game, 8.4 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W12 |  KC | vs IND | 6 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 4.4 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %80%
Target share20%
Opportunities6
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
100Average
#15 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
98Average
#20 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
100Average
#13 of 32 · 17 games
TEschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Andy Reid on Travis Kelce: "Pretty good for an old man"www.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-15
- NFL Week 1 statistical review: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncoswww.pff.com · 2026-09-15
- Chiefs' Kelce passes Witten, now No. 2 all time on receiving list for TEswww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- Let's kick off NFL Week 2: Seven things Solak thinks -- including that Houston's offense could be decentwww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- 'I'm willing to do whatever it takes': Inside the 274 days that rebuilt Patrick Mahomeswww.espn.com · 2026-09-14
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
11.4 PPR/g · best 24.1
13
✓
1
10
✓
2
7
✗
3
10
✗
4
19
✓
5
14
✓
6
8
✗
7
22
✓
8
13
✓
9
24
✓
11
8
✗
12
16
✓
13
2
✗
14
14
✓
15
2
✗
16
9
✗
17
4
✗
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–178.1 PPR/g over 3 gamesbelow their 11.4 season averageour calls: 1/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | @LV | 6 | 3 | 12 | 0 | – | – | 80% | 20% | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 2025 W17 | vsDEN | 6 | 5 | 36 | 0 | – | – | 98% | 30% | 8.6 | 6.1 | 3.6 |
| 2025 W16 | @TEN | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | – | – | 78% | 18% | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 2025 W15 | vsLAC | 9 | 7 | 70 | 0 | – | – | 98% | 30% | 14.0 | 10.5 | 7.0 |
| 2025 W14 | vsHOU | 5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | – | – | 91% | 17% | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 2025 W13 | @DAL | 6 | 5 | 45 | 1 | – | – | 91% | 19% | 15.5 | 13.0 | 10.5 |
| 2025 W12 | vsIND | 6 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 88% | 14% | 8.4 | 6.4 | 4.4 |
| 2025 W11 | @DEN | 13 | 9 | 91 | 1 | – | – | 79% | 30% | 24.1 | 19.6 | 15.1 |
| 2025 W9 | @BUF | 5 | 4 | 66 | 0 | – | – | 92% | 17% | 12.6 | 10.6 | 8.6 |
| 2025 W8 | vsWSH | 8 | 6 | 99 | 1 | – | – | 84% | 25% | 21.9 | 18.9 | 15.9 |
| 2025 W7 | vsLV | 3 | 3 | 54 | 0 | – | – | 62% | 9% | 8.4 | 6.9 | 5.4 |
| 2025 W6 | vsDET | 7 | 6 | 78 | 0 | – | – | 70% | 25% | 13.8 | 10.8 | 7.8 |
| 2025 W5 | @JAX | 8 | 7 | 61 | 1 | – | – | 80% | 20% | 19.1 | 15.6 | 12.1 |
| 2025 W4 | vsBAL | 5 | 5 | 48 | 0 | – | – | 66% | 14% | 9.8 | 7.3 | 4.8 |
| 2025 W3 | @NYG | 7 | 4 | 26 | 0 | – | – | 74% | 20% | 6.6 | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| 2025 W2 | vsPHI | 6 | 4 | 61 | 0 | – | – | 77% | 21% | 10.1 | 8.1 | 6.1 |
| 2025 W1 | @LAC | 4 | 2 | 47 | 1 | – | – | 84% | 11% | 12.7 | 11.7 | 10.7 |
| 2024 W17 | @ PIT | 11 | 8 | 84 | 1 | – | – | 89% | 29% | 22.4 | 18.4 | 14.4 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim55%hit rate
33 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 54%
of 26 Start calls
🟡 57%
of 7 Flex calls
Based on 33 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | LV | START | 10.3 | TE36 (4.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | DEN | START | 9.9 | TE19 (8.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | TEN | FLEX | 10.5 | TE53 (1.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | LAC | START | 11.3 | TE10 (14.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | HOU | START | 11.8 | TE47 (1.8) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | DAL | START | 12.7 | TE4 (15.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | IND | START | 12.0 | TE15 (8.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W11 | DEN | FLEX | 10.6 | TE3 (24.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | BUF | START | 11.2 | TE8 (12.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | WSH | FLEX | 9.8 | TE2 (21.9) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade