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Brian Thomas Jr.
WR · JAX
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
24.0
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs CLE: allows 26.0 PPR/g to WR, rank 29/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs CLE
contextvs CLE: 1 game, 11.4 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W2 |  JAX | vs CLE | 4 | 2 | 94 | 0 | 11.4 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %57%
Target share16%
Opportunities5
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
103Easy
#6 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
109Easy
#4 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
103Easy
#6 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Brian Thomas Jr.: I want to be undeniablewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-28
- Zay Jones visits the Jaguarswww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-27
- NFL training camp is here! Biggest storylines, roster projections and previews for all 32 teamswww.espn.com · 2026-07-23
- Jaguars betting preview: Is a repeat of '25 succes...www.espn.com · 2026-07-22
- We ranked every NFL team by under-25 talent: What ...www.espn.com · 2026-07-22
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vs TEN | 5 | 3 | 49 | 0 | – | – | 57% | 16% | 7.9 |
| 2025 W17 | @ IND | 7 | 4 | 39 | 0 | – | – | 78% | 19% | 7.9 |
| 2025 W16 | @ DEN | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | – | – | 73% | 9% | 3.8 |
| 2025 W15 | vs NYJ | 7 | 4 | 66 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 77% | 25% | 17.1 |
| 2025 W14 | vsIND | 6 | 3 | 87 | 0 | – | – | 83% | 19% | 11.7 |
| 2025 W13 | @TEN | 3 | 2 | 28 | 0 | – | – | 75% | 12% | 4.8 |
| 2025 W9 | @ LV | 5 | 3 | 55 | 0 | – | – | 65% | 15% | 8.5 |
| 2025 W7 | vs LAR | 7 | 3 | 31 | 0 | – | – | 66% | 15% | 6.1 |
| 2025 W6 | vs SEA | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 | – | – | 80% | 24% | 23.0 |
| 2025 W5 | vs KC | 6 | 4 | 80 | 0 | – | – | 93% | 24% | 12.0 |
| 2025 W4 | @ SF | 7 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 79% | 23% | 10.6 |
| 2025 W3 | vs HOU | 6 | 2 | 55 | 0 | – | – | 81% | 16% | 7.5 |
| 2025 W2 | @ CIN | 12 | 4 | 49 | 0 | – | – | 94% | 29% | 8.9 |
| 2025 W1 | vs CAR | 7 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 86% | 24% | 9.0 |
| 2024 W18 | @IND | 11 | 7 | 103 | 0 | – | – | 90% | 36% | 17.3 |
| 2024 W17 | vsTEN | 10 | 7 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 84% | 48% | 23.9 |
| 2024 W16 | @LV | 13 | 9 | 132 | 1 | – | – | 90% | 37% | 28.2 |
| 2024 W15 | vsNYJ | 14 | 10 | 105 | 2 | – | – | 88% | 33% | 32.5 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim41%hit rate
29 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 50%
of 6 Start calls
🟡 31%
of 13 Flex calls
🔴 50%
of 10 Sit calls
Based on 29 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | TEN | FLEX | 10.9 | WR38 (7.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | IND | SIT | 9.7 | WR46 (7.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | DEN | SIT | 9.8 | WR82 (3.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | NYJ | SIT | 9.1 | WR16 (17.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | IND | SIT | 9.7 | WR22 (11.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | TEN | FLEX | 11.4 | WR67 (4.8) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | LV | FLEX | 12.1 | WR46 (8.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W7 | LAR | FLEX | 12.0 | WR60 (6.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W6 | SEA | FLEX | 11.9 | WR6 (23.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W5 | KC | FLEX | 11.5 | WR32 (12.0) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade