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A.J. Brown
WR · NE
START
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: heavy usage
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
20.2
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs SEA: allows 26.1 PPR/g to WR, rank 28/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs SEA
contextvs SEA: 1 game, 10.6 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 W15 |  PHI· prior | @ SEA | 10 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 10.6 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %89%
Target share32%
Opportunities7
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
97Hard
#28 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
95Hard
#23 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
97Hard
#28 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Stacking the most impactful NFL offseason moves: 5...www.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- Biggest Instant Impact Rookie For Every Teamnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-28
- NFC Notes: Jaxson Dart, Tyler Smith, Cowboys, Eagles, Giantsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-28
- Mike Vrabel has "a lot of respect" for how Kayshon Boutte has handled a tricky situationwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-27
- Brown knows Vrabel's rip comes from 'great place'www.espn.com · 2026-07-27
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | @ BUF | 7 | 5 | 68 | 0 | 89% | 32% | 11.8 |
| 2025 W16 | @ WSH | 12 | 9 | 95 | 0 | 87% | 41% | 18.5 |
| 2025 W15 | vs LV | 2 | 2 | 41 | 1 | 72% | 11% | 12.1 |
| 2025 W14 | @ LAC | 13 | 6 | 100 | 0 | 97% | 34% | 16.0 |
| 2025 W13 | vs CHI | 12 | 10 | 132 | 2 | 96% | 40% | 35.2 |
| 2025 W12 | @ DAL | 10 | 8 | 110 | 1 | 94% | 28% | 25.0 |
| 2025 W11 | vs DET | 11 | 7 | 49 | 0 | 93% | 41% | 11.9 |
| 2025 W10 | @ GB | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 78% | 13% | 3.3 |
| 2025 W7 | @ MIN | 6 | 4 | 121 | 2 | 92% | 26% | 28.1 |
| 2025 W6 | @ NYG | 9 | 6 | 80 | 0 | 96% | 28% | 14.0 |
| 2025 W5 | vs DEN | 8 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 93% | 22% | 9.3 |
| 2025 W4 | @ TB | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 96% | 38% | 2.7 |
| 2025 W3 | vs LAR | 10 | 6 | 109 | 1 | 93% | 33% | 22.9 |
| 2025 W2 | @ KC | 8 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 97% | 38% | 7.7 |
| 2025 W1 | vsDAL | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 87% | 5% | 1.8 |
| 2024 W17 | vsDAL | 5 | 3 | 36 | 1 | 91% | 28% | 12.6 |
| 2024 W16 | @WSH | 15 | 8 | 97 | 1 | 100% | 60% | 23.7 |
| 2024 W15 | vs PIT | 11 | 8 | 110 | 1 | 91% | 36% | 25.0 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim50%hit rate
28 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 47%
of 15 Start calls
🟡 58%
of 12 Flex calls
🔴 0%
of 1 Sit call
Based on 28 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | BUF | START | 16.2 | WR28 (11.8) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | WSH | START | 16.6 | WR15 (18.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | LV | START | 18.5 | WR30 (12.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | LAC | START | 15.5 | WR16 (16.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | CHI | START | 14.4 | WR1 (35.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | DAL | START | 13.7 | WR5 (25.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | DET | FLEX | 12.4 | WR21 (11.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | GB | START | 13.7 | WR68 (3.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W7 | MIN | START | 14.2 | WR4 (28.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W6 | NYG | START | 14.2 | WR19 (14.0) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade