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Dawson Knox
TE · BUF
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: projected outside startable range
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs DET: allows 13.7 PPR/g to TE, rank 13/32 (Average). Trailing TE PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
BUF targets to TE
BUF routes 25% of pass targets to TE this season (26% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.1 SD vs the league TE average.
Primary passer Josh Allen. 2025 share of pass targets to TE (120/476). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj4.2TE39
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (TE39), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs DET
contextvs DET: 1 game, 6.2 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W15 |  BUF | @ DET | 3 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 6.2 | 5.2 | 4.2 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share4%
Opportunities1
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Average
#22 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
108Easy
#8 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Average
#22 of 32 · 17 games
TEschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Texans LB To'oTo'o (shoulder) to miss some timewww.espn.com · 2026-09-14
- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- AFC Notes: Josh Allen, A.J. Brown, Bills, Jets, Patriotsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-12
- Solak picks X factors for all 32 NFL teams: Which players could sway the 2026 season?www.espn.com · 2026-09-04
- Solak makes sense of key NFL Week 1 stats: Williams goes 20-plus MPH twice, Kincaid leads Bills in receivingwww.espn.com · 2026-09-01
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
6.1 PPR/g · best 18.7
4
✓
1
4
✓
2
0
✓
3
0
✓
4
4
✓
5
9
✓
6
3
✓
8
4
✓
9
7
✓
10
3
✓
11
5
✓
12
6
✓
13
17
✗
14
19
✗
15
2
✗
16
8
✗
17
10
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–179.6 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 6.1 season averageour calls: 0/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | @HOU | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 4% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vsNYJ | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 5% | 7% | 10.4 | 9.4 | 8.4 |
| 2025 W17 | vsPHI | 5 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 63% | 15% | 8.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 |
| 2025 W16 | @CLE | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 68% | 11% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 2025 W15 | @NE | 4 | 3 | 37 | 2 | 64% | 15% | 18.7 | 17.2 | 15.7 |
| 2025 W14 | vsCIN | 7 | 6 | 93 | 0 | 55% | 26% | 17.3 | 14.3 | 11.3 |
| 2025 W13 | @PIT | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 72% | 17% | 5.8 | 4.3 | 2.8 |
| 2025 W12 | @HOU | 4 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 86% | 13% | 4.7 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 2025 W11 | vsTB | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 77% | 10% | 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 2025 W10 | @MIA | 4 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 68% | 10% | 6.7 | 5.2 | 3.7 |
| 2025 W9 | vsKC | 1 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 48% | 4% | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| 2025 W8 | @CAR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 43% | 4% | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 2025 W6 | @ATL | 2 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 81% | 8% | 8.9 | 8.4 | 7.9 |
| 2025 W5 | vsNE | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 56% | 7% | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 2025 W4 | vsNO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41% | 5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W3 | vsMIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W2 | @NYJ | 5 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 55% | 20% | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 2025 W1 | vsBAL | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 56% | 4% | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim88%hit rate
33 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 33%
of 3 Flex calls
🔴 93%
of 30 Sit calls
Based on 33 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | NYJ | FLEX | 8.8 | TE12 (10.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | PHI | FLEX | 8.7 | TE21 (8.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | CLE | FLEX | 9.3 | TE49 (2.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | NE | SIT | 8.3 | TE8 (18.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | CIN | SIT | 7.4 | TE3 (17.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | PIT | SIT | 5.8 | TE28 (5.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | HOU | SIT | 4.7 | TE30 (4.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | TB | SIT | 5.0 | TE38 (3.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | MIA | SIT | 4.5 | TE21 (6.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | KC | SIT | 4.0 | TE36 (4.0) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade