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Dawson Knox
TE · BUF
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
23.0
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs HOU: allows 12.3 PPR/g to TE, rank 21/32 (Average). Trailing TE PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs HOU
contextvs HOU: 2 games, 2.4 PPR avg
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %5%
Target share7%
Opportunities2
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Average
#22 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
108Easy
#8 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Average
#22 of 32 · 17 games
TEschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Cade Otton’s Polarizing Playwww.pewterreport.com · 2026-07-27
- PFF Tight End Rankings: The top 32 players ahead of the 2026 NFL seasonwww.pff.com · 2026-07-22
- AFC Notes: Josh Allen, Cade Klubnik, Dion Dawkins, Bills, Jetsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-20
- Dion Dawkins: Josh is Josh, but everybody else has to be betterwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-16
- Titans TE Gunnar Helm eyes an even bigger second seasonwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-10
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vs NYJ | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 5% | 7% | 10.4 |
| 2025 W17 | vs PHI | 5 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 63% | 15% | 8.0 |
| 2025 W16 | @ CLE | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 68% | 11% | 2.0 |
| 2025 W15 | @ NE | 4 | 3 | 37 | 2 | 64% | 15% | 18.7 |
| 2025 W14 | vs CIN | 7 | 6 | 93 | 0 | 55% | 26% | 17.3 |
| 2025 W13 | @ PIT | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 72% | 17% | 5.8 |
| 2025 W12 | @ HOU | 4 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 86% | 13% | 4.7 |
| 2025 W11 | vs TB | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 77% | 10% | 3.3 |
| 2025 W10 | @ MIA | 4 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 68% | 10% | 6.7 |
| 2025 W9 | vs KC | 1 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 48% | 4% | 4.0 |
| 2025 W8 | @ CAR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 43% | 4% | 2.5 |
| 2025 W6 | @ ATL | 2 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 81% | 8% | 8.9 |
| 2025 W5 | vsNE | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 56% | 7% | 3.5 |
| 2025 W4 | vs NO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41% | 5% | 0.0 |
| 2025 W3 | vsMIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53% | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2025 W2 | @NYJ | 5 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 55% | 20% | 3.9 |
| 2025 W1 | vs BAL | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 56% | 4% | 4.0 |
| 2024 W17 | vsNYJ | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 49% | 11% | 1.4 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim88%hit rate
33 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 33%
of 3 Flex calls
🔴 93%
of 30 Sit calls
Based on 33 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | NYJ | FLEX | 8.8 | TE12 (10.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | PHI | FLEX | 8.7 | TE21 (8.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | CLE | FLEX | 9.3 | TE49 (2.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | NE | SIT | 8.3 | TE8 (18.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | CIN | SIT | 7.4 | TE3 (17.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | PIT | SIT | 5.8 | TE28 (5.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | HOU | SIT | 4.7 | TE30 (4.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | TB | SIT | 5.0 | TE38 (3.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | MIA | SIT | 4.5 | TE21 (6.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | KC | SIT | 4.0 | TE36 (4.0) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade