
Why: projected outside startable range
vs CHI: allows 18.3 PPR/g to QB, rank 8/32 (Soft). Trailing QB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (QB7), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
QBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
Unlike Kyler Murray, who was in a similar situation when Arizona cut him with guaranteed money left on his deal and signed with Minnesota, Tagovailoa doesn't have a clause in his contract prohibiting his new team from using its franchise ta
source ↗Deep-league options/streamers Carson Wentz, Vikings (0.1%): Starter Kyler Murray left his debut early due to a concussion, and we can assume he will miss at least one more week.
source ↗| Week | Opp | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs | 3/5 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | – |
| 2025 W5 | vs | 23/31 | 220 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 15.3 |
| 2025 W4 | vs | 27/41 | 200 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 0 | 16.1 |
| 2025 W3 | @ | 22/35 | 159 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 14.1 |
| 2025 W2 | vs | 17/25 | 220 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 14.0 |
| 2025 W1 | @ | 21/29 | 163 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 18.3 |
| 2024 W18 | vs | 25/35 | 242 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 27.9 |
| 2024 W17 | @ | 33/48 | 321 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 16.0 |
| 2024 W16 | @ | 20/32 | 202 | 1 | 1 | 63 | 1 | 20.4 |
| 2024 W15 | vs | 23/30 | 224 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 10.1 |
| 2024 W14 | vs | 25/38 | 259 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 18.0 |
| 2024 W13 | @ | 31/45 | 260 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 0 | 15.2 |
| 2024 W12 | @ | 24/37 | 285 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10.3 |
| 2024 W10 | vs | 22/24 | 266 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 28.7 |
| 2024 W9 | vs | 13/20 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4.8 |
| 2024 W8 | @ | 26/36 | 307 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 22.2 |
| 2024 W7 | vs | 14/26 | 145 | 1 | 1 | 64 | 1 | 20.2 |
| 2024 W6 | @ | 22/32 | 214 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 12.0 |
Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Based on 22 graded calls.
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W5 | FLEX | 17.6 | QB21 (15.3) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W4 | FLEX | 16.9 | QB17 (16.1) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W3 | FLEX | 17.0 | QB14 (14.1) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W2 | START | 19.1 | QB23 (14.0) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W1 | FLEX | 17.7 | QB13 (18.3) | ✗ | |
| 2024 W18 | FLEX | 16.6 | QB4 (27.9) | ✓ | |
| 2024 W17 | SIT | 15.8 | QB18 (16.0) | ✓ | |
| 2024 W16 | SIT | 16.2 | QB14 (20.4) | ✓ | |
| 2024 W15 | FLEX | 17.8 | QB22 (10.1) | ✗ | |
| 2024 W14 | SIT | 15.9 | QB10 (18.0) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade