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Baker Mayfield
QB · TB
FLEX
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: heavy usage, high-scoring game, soft matchup
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
24.0
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs CIN: allows 18.4 PPR/g to QB, rank 7/32 (Soft). Trailing QB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs CIN
contextNo prior games vs CIN in the record.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %100%
Target share0%
Opportunities4
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Hard
#24 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
97Average
#19 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Hard
#24 of 32 · 17 games
QBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole change
Biggest Bucs Offensive Position Battle: Who Becomes Baker Mayfield’s Go-To Target? After having plenty of big moments early on, it will be critical for him to be a precise route-runner capable of creating separation, making big-time catches
source ↗- Ndamukong Suh Sounds Off On Vita Vea-Bucs Trade Requestwww.pewterreport.com · 2026-07-28
- Sources: No real progress in Mayfield, Bucs talkswww.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- The six late-round draft fliers to know: Tyler Sho...www.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- Update: Baker Mayfield Intends To Play Out 2026 Season On Current Contractnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-28
- Report: Baker Mayfield, Bucs have not made significant progress on new dealwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-28
Game log
context| Week | Opp | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vs CAR | 16/22 | 203 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 13.2 |
| 2025 W17 | @ MIA | 33/44 | 346 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 17.4 |
| 2025 W16 | @CAR | 18/26 | 145 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 0 | 12.7 |
| 2025 W15 | vs ATL | 19/34 | 277 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19.2 |
| 2025 W14 | vs NO | 14/30 | 122 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 2025 W13 | vs ARI | 18/28 | 194 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 14.5 |
| 2025 W12 | @ LAR | 9/19 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 3.5 |
| 2025 W11 | @ BUF | 16/28 | 173 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 1 | 16.8 |
| 2025 W10 | vs NE | 28/43 | 273 | 3 | 0 | – | – | 22.9 |
| 2025 W8 | @NO | 15/24 | 152 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 4.1 |
| 2025 W7 | @ DET | 28/50 | 228 | 1 | 1 | – | – | 11.1 |
| 2025 W6 | vs SF | 17/23 | 256 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 19.6 |
| 2025 W5 | @ SEA | 29/33 | 379 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 26.7 |
| 2025 W4 | vs PHI | 22/40 | 289 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 18.9 |
| 2025 W3 | vs NYJ | 19/29 | 233 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 17.7 |
| 2025 W2 | @ HOU | 25/38 | 215 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 19.9 |
| 2025 W1 | @ATL | 17/32 | 167 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 22.6 |
| 2024 W18 | vsNO | 21/32 | 221 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 0 | 21.6 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim68%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 73%
of 11 Start calls
🟡 67%
of 15 Flex calls
🔴 63%
of 8 Sit calls
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | CAR | SIT | 16.0 | QB17 (13.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | MIA | FLEX | 16.7 | QB12 (17.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | CAR | SIT | 14.8 | QB21 (12.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | ATL | SIT | 15.2 | QB14 (19.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | NO | FLEX | 15.4 | QB19 (11.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | ARI | SIT | 14.2 | QB18 (14.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | LAR | SIT | 14.3 | QB26 (3.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | BUF | SIT | 13.8 | QB8 (16.8) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | NE | SIT | 16.2 | QB7 (22.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W8 | NO | FLEX | 17.3 | QB25 (4.1) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade