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Darren Waller
TE · CAR
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: limited usage
2026 Wk 2
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs ATL: allows 9.7 PPR/g to TE, rank 30/32 (Tough). Trailing TE PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
CAR targets to TE
DowngradeCAR routes 21% of pass targets to TE this season (18% over the trailing 8 wk), −1.3 SD vs the league TE average.
Primary passer Bryce Young. 2025 share of pass targets to TE (98/464). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj6.6TE26
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (TE26), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs ATL
contextNo prior games vs ATL in the record.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share6%
Opportunities2
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
97Hard
#24 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
134Easy
#1 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
97Hard
#23 of 32 · 17 games
TEschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Let's kick off NFL Week 2: Seven things Solak thinks -- including that Houston's offense could be decentwww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- Inside The Numbers: Panthers vs. Bears in Week 1www.panthers.com · 2026-09-14
- Week 1 Inactives vs. Chicago: Ja'Tavion Sanders out for Bears gamewww.panthers.com · 2026-09-13
- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- Five things to watch as Panthers kick off the season against the Bearswww.panthers.com · 2026-09-12
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
9.9 PPR/g · best 25.6
18
✗
4
19
✓
5
9
✗
6
0
✓
7
7
✓
13
3
✓
14
26
✗
15
7
✓
16
1
✗
17
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1711.2 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 9.9 season averageour calls: 1/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs CHI | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 | – | – | 0% | 6% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W17 | vsTB | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 38% | 14% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W16 | vsCIN | 5 | 3 | 40 | 0 | – | – | 49% | 18% | 7.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| 2025 W15 | @PIT | 8 | 7 | 66 | 2 | – | – | 54% | 32% | 25.6 | 22.1 | 18.6 |
| 2025 W14 | @NYJ | 3 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 37% | 14% | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 2025 W13 | vsNO | 3 | 2 | 47 | 0 | – | – | 47% | 15% | 6.7 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| 2025 W7 | @CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 28% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W6 | vsLAC | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 | – | – | 69% | 10% | 9.2 | 8.2 | 7.2 |
| 2025 W5 | @CAR | 5 | 5 | 78 | 1 | – | – | 58% | 15% | 18.8 | 16.3 | 13.8 |
| 2025 W4 | vsNYJ | 4 | 3 | 27 | 2 | – | – | 28% | 16% | 17.7 | 16.2 | 14.7 |
| 2023 W18 | vs PHI | 6 | 5 | 45 | 0 | – | – | 51% | 19% | – | – | – |
| 2023 W17 | vs LAR | 6 | 5 | 51 | 0 | – | – | 66% | 15% | – | – | – |
| 2023 W16 | @PHI | 5 | 2 | 32 | 0 | – | – | 63% | 19% | – | – | – |
| 2023 W15 | @NO | 6 | 4 | 40 | 0 | – | – | 42% | 18% | – | – | – |
| 2023 W8 | vsNYJ | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | – | – | 23% | 17% | – | – | – |
| 2023 W7 | vs WSH | 8 | 7 | 98 | 1 | – | – | 82% | 30% | – | – | – |
| 2023 W6 | @ BUF | 7 | 5 | 43 | 0 | – | – | 92% | 23% | – | – | – |
| 2023 W5 | @ MIA | 11 | 8 | 86 | 0 | – | – | 92% | 37% | – | – | – |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim56%hit rate
9 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 33%
of 3 Flex calls
🔴 67%
of 6 Sit calls
Small sample: 9 graded calls. Read this as directional, not a reliable rate yet.
Recent calls
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade