Puka Nacua Fantasy 2026: The Highest-Scoring Receiver Per Game, Even Next to Davante Adams
Nacua averaged 23.4 PPR points a game in 2025 while sharing the field with a 14-touchdown teammate. Here is what his workload says about a top-four price, and where the honest regression risk sits.
Puka Nacua played 16 games in 2025 and scored like the best receiver in fantasy in every one of them. He averaged 23.4 PPR points per game on 129 catches, 1,715 receiving yards, and 10 touchdowns, and he added another 105 yards and a score on 10 carries. That per-game rate was one of the highest at the position. The question for 2026 is not whether he is good. It is whether a workload that big holds up, and whether the scoring rate is real.
Start with the volume, because it is the part that repeats. Nacua commanded a 30.1% target share (WR rank 7), and he did it in a crowded room rather than an empty one. Davante Adams played on the same offense and took a 25.1% target share with 14 touchdowns of his own. Two receivers eating that much of one passing game is unusual. It tells you the Rams throw enough to feed both, and that Nacua's share is not the product of a thin depth chart.
The volume is real, not screens
A high target share can be empty if it is all short passing. Nacua's was not. He caught the ball at a 9.43-yard average depth of target, took a 29.6% share of the Rams' air yards, and added 5.16 yards after the catch per reception. He also drew a 26.9% share of the team's deep targets on 39 downfield looks. That is the full profile: heavy volume, a real aDOT, downfield work, and yards after the catch. It is the kind of usage that produces both the floor and the ceiling weeks.
The honest part: the scoring ran ahead of the usage
Here is where a good outlook has to be two-sided. Nacua was the highest-scoring WR in fantasy per game in 2025 at 23.4, but a chunk of that came from finishing with 11 total touchdowns, 10 receiving and one rushing. Touchdown rate is the noisy input that tends to cool year to year; target share and field position are the sticky ones. So expect the per-game rate to give back a little rather than climb. The reason to stay in anyway is that the usage underneath it, a top-ten target share, a real aDOT, and a downfield role, is elite on its own. You are buying the workload that generates the number, not last year's exact total.
The receipts, week by week
Usage sets the range. Our graded calls test whether we read the weeks right, on the record. On Nacua in 2025 we hit on 15 of 16 weeks, and on our confident GREEN calls we went 13 of 14. The ceiling was enormous: 46.5 points against Seattle in Week 16, 36.0 versus Indianapolis in Week 4, 35.7 at Arizona in Week 14. His full graded history, every call and every result, is on his player page.
What it means for his 2026 price
Nacua is going as a top-four overall receiver, so this is not a buy-low. You are paying a first-round price for a first-round profile. What the workload tells you is that the price is earned in the parts that stick: a top-ten target share held in a two-star room, a real aDOT, and a downfield role. The soft spot is the touchdown rate, not the usage. If anything gives back in 2026, it is more likely to be the scoring efficiency than the volume, and volume is what you draft receivers for.