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Josh Downs
WR · IND
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
22.5
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs BAL: allows 35.8 PPR/g to WR, rank 4/32 (Soft). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs BAL
contextvs BAL: 1 game, 13.7 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 W3 |  IND | @ BAL | 12 | 8 | 57 | 0 | 13.7 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %63%
Target share12%
Opportunities5
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
100Average
#15 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
94Hard
#25 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
100Average
#15 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Biggest Instant Impact Rookie For Every Teamnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-28
- One 2026 Breakout Candidate For All 32 NFL Teamsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-27
- Colts Place Alec Pierce, C.J. Allen On PUPwww.yardbarker.com · 2026-07-27
- We ranked every NFL team by under-25 talent: What ...www.espn.com · 2026-07-22
- Cam Newton trolls Josh Downs and Indianapolis Colts using NFL’s disrespect to the franchise ahead of the 2026 NFL seasonwww.yardbarker.com · 2026-07-22
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | @ HOU | 4 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 63% | 12% | 9.6 |
| 2025 W17 | vs JAX | 5 | 2 | 34 | 0 | – | – | 61% | 17% | 5.4 |
| 2025 W16 | vs SF | 9 | 5 | 65 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 78% | 25% | 11.8 |
| 2025 W15 | @ SEA | 5 | 3 | 13 | 1 | – | – | 72% | 19% | 10.3 |
| 2025 W14 | @JAX | 5 | 4 | 23 | 0 | – | – | 66% | 14% | 6.3 |
| 2025 W13 | vsHOU | 6 | 2 | 44 | 0 | – | – | 57% | 24% | 6.4 |
| 2025 W12 | @ KC | 6 | 2 | 10 | 0 | – | – | 43% | 19% | 3.0 |
| 2025 W10 | vs ATL | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | – | – | 47% | 8% | 1.3 |
| 2025 W9 | @ PIT | 9 | 6 | 57 | 1 | – | – | 67% | 19% | 15.7 |
| 2025 W8 | vs TEN | 3 | 3 | 39 | 1 | – | – | 64% | 11% | 12.9 |
| 2025 W6 | vs ARI | 7 | 6 | 42 | 1 | – | – | 51% | 23% | 16.2 |
| 2025 W5 | vs LV | 8 | 6 | 54 | 0 | – | – | 50% | 27% | 11.4 |
| 2025 W4 | @ LAR | 5 | 4 | 24 | 0 | – | – | 62% | 16% | 6.4 |
| 2025 W3 | @TEN | 3 | 2 | 34 | 0 | – | – | 51% | 12% | 5.4 |
| 2025 W2 | vs DEN | 8 | 6 | 51 | 0 | – | – | 58% | 24% | 11.1 |
| 2025 W1 | vs MIA | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | – | – | 49% | 10% | 3.2 |
| 2024 W18 | vsJAX | 13 | 10 | 94 | 0 | – | – | 76% | 33% | 19.4 |
| 2024 W17 | @ NYG | 4 | 3 | 22 | 0 | – | – | 61% | 11% | 5.2 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim60%hit rate
30 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 0%
of 1 Start call
🟡 43%
of 7 Flex calls
🔴 68%
of 22 Sit calls
Based on 30 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | HOU | SIT | 8.6 | WR28 (9.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | JAX | SIT | 10.0 | WR60 (5.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | SF | SIT | 8.4 | WR30 (11.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | SEA | SIT | 6.2 | WR39 (10.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | JAX | SIT | 8.4 | WR49 (6.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | HOU | SIT | 8.1 | WR52 (6.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | KC | SIT | 9.1 | WR73 (3.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | ATL | FLEX | 11.5 | WR91 (1.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | PIT | SIT | 10.4 | WR21 (15.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W8 | TEN | FLEX | 10.3 | WR27 (12.9) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade