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Xavier Hutchinson
WR · HOU
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: projected outside startable range
2026 Wk 2
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs CIN: allows 25.6 PPR/g to WR, rank 30/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
HOU targets to WR
HOU routes 63% of pass targets to WR this season (63% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.7 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer C.J. Stroud. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (345/551). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj4.2WR90
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR90), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs CIN
contextvs CIN: 1 game, 1.7 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 W10 |  HOU | @ CIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share16%
Opportunities6
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
106Easy
#2 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
97Average
#20 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
104Easy
#2 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole changesnaps ↓
Last season, Houston had Nico Collins as its X receiver, Higgins and Xavier Hutchinson in a rotation as the Z receiver and Christian Kirk in a rotation with Jaylin Noel in the slot.
source ↗role changesnaps ↓
Last season, Houston had Nico Collins as its X receiver, Higgins and Xavier Hutchinson in a rotation as the Z receiver and Christian Kirk in a rotation with Jaylin Noel in the slot.
source ↗- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- Solak picks X factors for all 32 NFL teams: Which players could sway the 2026 season?www.espn.com · 2026-09-04
- Kayshon Boutte takes Mike Vrabel's "inactive" comment in stridewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-03
- AFC Notes: C.J. Stroud, Anthony Richardson, Fernando Carmona, Colts, Texans, Titanswww.yardbarker.com · 2026-09-03
- AFC Notes: C.J. Stroud, Anthony Richardson, Fernando Carmona, Colts, Texans, Titansnfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-03
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
5.8 PPR/g · best 17.9
6
✓
1
5
✓
2
5
✓
3
4
✓
4
17
✗
5
2
✓
7
18
✗
8
6
✓
9
0
✓
10
7
✓
11
1
✓
12
6
✓
13
0
✓
14
3
✓
15
1
✓
16
5
✓
17
13
✗
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–173.0 PPR/g over 3 gamesbelow their 5.8 season averageour calls: 3/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vsBUF | 6 | 3 | 32 | 0 | – | – | 0% | 16% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vsIND | 9 | 5 | 84 | 0 | – | – | 79% | 32% | 13.4 | 10.9 | 8.4 |
| 2025 W17 | @LAC | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 48% | 12% | 4.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| 2025 W16 | vsLV | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | – | – | 49% | 6% | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 2025 W15 | vsARI | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | – | – | 30% | 8% | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 2025 W14 | @KC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 40% | 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W13 | @IND | 5 | 2 | 39 | 0 | – | – | 55% | 16% | 5.9 | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| 2025 W12 | vsBUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36% | 0% | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 2025 W11 | @TEN | 5 | 3 | 42 | 0 | – | – | 53% | 13% | 7.2 | 5.7 | 4.2 |
| 2025 W10 | vsJAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 53% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W9 | vsDEN | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 | – | – | 63% | 13% | 6.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| 2025 W8 | vsSF | 6 | 5 | 69 | 1 | – | – | 71% | 16% | 17.9 | 15.4 | 12.9 |
| 2025 W7 | @SEA | 4 | 1 | 13 | 0 | – | – | 78% | 9% | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 2025 W5 | @BAL | 3 | 3 | 18 | 2 | – | – | 67% | 10% | 16.8 | 15.3 | 13.8 |
| 2025 W4 | vsTEN | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | – | – | 68% | 11% | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 2025 W3 | @JAX | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 | – | – | 62% | 8% | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| 2025 W2 | vsTB | 3 | 2 | 29 | 0 | – | – | 57% | 13% | 4.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| 2025 W1 | @LAR | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 68% | 7% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim91%hit rate
33 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🔴 91%
of 33 Sit calls
Based on 33 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | IND | SIT | 4.3 | WR17 (13.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | LAC | SIT | 4.2 | WR68 (4.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | LV | SIT | 4.6 | WR111 (1.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | ARI | SIT | 5.4 | WR88 (2.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | KC | SIT | 4.2 | WR139 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | IND | SIT | 4.5 | WR57 (5.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | BUF | SIT | 6.7 | WR92 (0.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | TEN | SIT | 6.6 | WR45 (7.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | JAX | SIT | 8.2 | WR134 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | DEN | SIT | 8.0 | WR57 (6.0) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade