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Luther Burden III
WR · CHI
FLEX
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: high-scoring game
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
24.0
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs CAR: allows 27.1 PPR/g to WR, rank 23/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs CAR
contextNo prior games vs CAR in the record.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %62%
Target share14%
Opportunities5
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 15.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
96Hard
#31 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
100Average
#15 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
96Hard
#31 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Cleveland Browns 2026 preview: Todd Monken takes over rebuilt offense and a defense without Myles Garrettwww.pff.com · 2026-07-28
- 2026 Fantasy Football: 5 breakout candidates for draftswww.pff.com · 2026-07-27
- One 2026 Breakout Candidate For All 32 NFL Teamsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-27
- 5 newcomers who appear primed to make impact with ...www.espn.com · 2026-07-24
- Dart, Tate and others primed to follow path of 202...www.espn.com · 2026-07-22
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vs DET | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 62% | 14% | 7.5 |
| 2025 W17 | @ SF | 9 | 8 | 138 | 1 | – | – | 58% | 23% | 27.8 |
| 2025 W15 | vs CLE | 7 | 6 | 84 | 0 | – | – | 39% | 26% | 14.4 |
| 2025 W14 | @ GB | 6 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 71% | 21% | 11.0 |
| 2025 W13 | @ PHI | 6 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 51% | 19% | 7.6 |
| 2025 W12 | vs PIT | 5 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 51% | 17% | 9.1 |
| 2025 W11 | @ MIN | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 | – | – | 44% | 18% | 5.7 |
| 2025 W10 | vs NYG | 3 | 3 | 51 | 0 | – | – | 49% | 8% | 8.1 |
| 2025 W8 | @ BAL | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | – | – | 17% | 3% | 0.9 |
| 2025 W7 | vs NO | 2 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 28% | 8% | 3.1 |
| 2025 W6 | @ WSH | 4 | 4 | 51 | 0 | – | – | 23% | 14% | 9.1 |
| 2025 W4 | @ LV | 2 | 2 | -4 | 0 | – | – | 28% | 6% | 1.6 |
| 2025 W3 | vs DAL | 3 | 3 | 101 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29% | 11% | 19.8 |
| 2025 W2 | @DET | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | – | – | 18% | 6% | – |
| 2025 W1 | vsMIN | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | – | – | 27% | 3% | – |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim69%hit rate
13 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 0%
of 1 Start call
🔴 75%
of 12 Sit calls
Based on 13 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | DET | START | 12.4 | WR41 (7.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | SF | SIT | 10.2 | WR1 (27.8) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | CLE | SIT | 9.1 | WR23 (14.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | GB | SIT | 7.4 | WR26 (11.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | PHI | SIT | 5.6 | WR45 (7.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | PIT | SIT | 5.1 | WR36 (9.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | MIN | SIT | 4.7 | WR57 (5.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | NYG | SIT | 4.2 | WR40 (8.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | BAL | SIT | 5.7 | WR91 (0.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | NO | SIT | 5.5 | WR81 (3.1) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade