
Why: projected outside startable range
vs LAC: allows 26.9 PPR/g to WR, rank 24/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
Primary passer Geno Smith. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (238/489). Descriptive context, never a model input.
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR77), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs | 4 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 14% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58% | 8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W16 | @ | 3 | 2 | 43 | 0 | 72% | 14% | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| 2025 W15 | @ | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 81% | 12% | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 2025 W14 | vs | 6 | 6 | 50 | 0 | 82% | 21% | 11.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 |
| 2025 W13 | @ | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 56% | 14% | 4.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| 2025 W12 | vs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W11 | vs | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 15% | 3% | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 2025 W10 | @ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23% | 4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W9 | vs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W7 | @ | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 63% | 12% | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 2025 W6 | vs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75% | 5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W5 | @ | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 53% | 14% | 5.7 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| 2025 W4 | vs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W3 | @ | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 24% | 4% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 2025 W2 | vs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7% | 0% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W1 | @ | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 6% | 3% | – | – | – |
Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Based on 14 graded calls.
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | SIT | 7.0 | WR145 (0.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W16 | SIT | 5.0 | WR62 (6.3) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W15 | SIT | 3.9 | WR80 (3.7) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W14 | SIT | 1.9 | WR25 (11.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W13 | SIT | 0.4 | WR72 (4.2) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W12 | SIT | 2.1 | WR133 (0.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W11 | SIT | 2.8 | WR76 (2.9) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W10 | SIT | 3.5 | WR133 (0.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W9 | SIT | 4.1 | WR137 (0.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W7 | SIT | 2.7 | WR79 (3.3) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade