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Jaylin Noel
WR · HOU
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: limited usage, tough matchup
2026 Wk 2
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs CIN: allows 25.6 PPR/g to WR, rank 30/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
HOU targets to WR
HOU routes 63% of pass targets to WR this season (63% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.7 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer C.J. Stroud. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (345/551). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj5.8WR78
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR78), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs CIN
contextNo prior games vs CIN in the record.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share5%
Opportunities2
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
106Easy
#2 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
97Average
#20 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
104Easy
#2 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole changesnaps ↓
Last season, Houston had Nico Collins as its X receiver, Higgins and Xavier Hutchinson in a rotation as the Z receiver and Christian Kirk in a rotation with Jaylin Noel in the slot.
source ↗role changesnaps ↓
Last season, Houston had Nico Collins as its X receiver, Higgins and Xavier Hutchinson in a rotation as the Z receiver and Christian Kirk in a rotation with Jaylin Noel in the slot.
source ↗- NFL Week 1: Same-game parlays to targetwww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- Solak picks X factors for all 32 NFL teams: Which players could sway the 2026 season?www.espn.com · 2026-09-04
- Kayshon Boutte takes Mike Vrabel's "inactive" comment in stridewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-03
- NFL Preseason Week 2 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from every gamewww.pff.com · 2026-08-24
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
4.0 PPR/g · best 14.6
2
1
0
2
1
✓
3
1
✓
4
10
✓
5
12
✓
7
11
✓
8
-0
✓
9
8
✓
10
2
✓
11
2
✓
12
0
✓
13
3
✓
14
0
✓
15
0
✓
16
15
✗
17
2
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–174.9 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 4.0 season averageour calls: 2/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vsBUF | 2 | 2 | 53 | 0 | – | – | 0% | 5% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vsIND | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | – | – | 16% | 4% | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 2025 W17 | @LAC | 4 | 3 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25% | 15% | 14.6 | 13.1 | 11.6 |
| 2025 W16 | vsLV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 14% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W15 | vsARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 16% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W14 | @KC | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36% | 7% | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 2025 W13 | @IND | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 24% | 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W12 | vsBUF | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 2025 W11 | @TEN | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | – | – | 26% | 3% | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 2025 W10 | vsJAX | 4 | 4 | 35 | 0 | – | – | 33% | 9% | 7.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| 2025 W9 | vsDEN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 15% | 0% | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| 2025 W8 | vsSF | 6 | 5 | 63 | 0 | – | – | 39% | 16% | 11.3 | 8.8 | 6.3 |
| 2025 W7 | @SEA | 7 | 4 | 77 | 0 | – | – | 43% | 15% | 11.7 | 9.7 | 7.7 |
| 2025 W5 | @BAL | 3 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30% | 10% | 9.8 | 8.8 | 7.8 |
| 2025 W4 | vsTEN | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24% | 4% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W3 | @JAX | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | – | – | 14% | 3% | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 2025 W2 | vsTB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 31% | 0% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W1 | @LAR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | – | – | 27% | 7% | – | – | – |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim93%hit rate
15 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🔴 93%
of 15 Sit calls
Based on 15 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | IND | SIT | 3.7 | WR82 (2.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | LAC | SIT | 1.5 | WR18 (14.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | LV | SIT | 3.1 | WR153 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | ARI | SIT | 3.4 | WR150 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | KC | SIT | 3.0 | WR74 (3.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | IND | SIT | 3.0 | WR148 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | BUF | SIT | 4.1 | WR86 (1.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | TEN | SIT | 6.1 | WR85 (2.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | JAX | SIT | 6.0 | WR43 (7.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | DEN | SIT | 6.6 | WR145 (-0.3) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade