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AJ Barner
TE · SEA
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
24.2
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs NE: allows 13.4 PPR/g to TE, rank 16/32 (Average). Trailing TE PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs NE
contextvs NE: 1 game, 0.0 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W2 |  SEA | @ NE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %61%
Target share12%
Opportunities3
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
100Average
#17 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
89Hard
#23 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
100Average
#17 of 32 · 17 games
TEschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Cade Otton’s Polarizing Playwww.pewterreport.com · 2026-07-27
- We ranked every NFL team by under-25 talent: What ...www.espn.com · 2026-07-22
- PFF Tight End Rankings: The top 32 players ahead of the 2026 NFL seasonwww.pff.com · 2026-07-22
- 'Slippers and slides, baby!': For fun or therapy, NFL players love their off-field footwearwww.espn.com · 2026-07-19
- Better, worse or the same? Examining the Seahawks'...www.espn.com · 2026-07-11
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | @ SF | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | – | – | 61% | 12% | 3.4 |
| 2025 W17 | @ CAR | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1 | – | – | 79% | 12% | 13.3 |
| 2025 W16 | vs LAR | 6 | 4 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 94% | 19% | 15.0 |
| 2025 W15 | vs IND | 6 | 3 | 27 | 0 | – | – | 83% | 19% | 5.7 |
| 2025 W14 | @ ATL | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | – | – | 67% | 13% | 5.7 |
| 2025 W13 | vs MIN | 5 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 85% | 22% | 7.7 |
| 2025 W12 | @ TEN | 4 | 2 | 18 | 0 | – | – | 79% | 16% | 3.8 |
| 2025 W11 | @LAR | 11 | 10 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 87% | 26% | 17.1 |
| 2025 W10 | vs ARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 37% | 0% | 0.3 |
| 2025 W9 | @ WSH | 4 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 84% | 17% | 11.5 |
| 2025 W7 | vs HOU | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 86% | 10% | 1.9 |
| 2025 W6 | @ JAX | 3 | 3 | 71 | 0 | – | – | 78% | 13% | 10.1 |
| 2025 W5 | vs TB | 7 | 7 | 53 | 2 | – | – | 80% | 21% | 24.3 |
| 2025 W4 | @ARI | 3 | 3 | 32 | 1 | – | – | 86% | 13% | 12.2 |
| 2025 W3 | vs NO | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | – | – | 54% | 5% | 3.3 |
| 2025 W2 | @ PIT | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 89% | 10% | 10.8 |
| 2025 W1 | vsSF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 85% | 9% | 1.2 |
| 2024 W18 | @LAR | 5 | 5 | 34 | 1 | – | – | 56% | 19% | 14.4 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim63%hit rate
32 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 17%
of 6 Flex calls
🔴 73%
of 26 Sit calls
Based on 32 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | SF | FLEX | 9.0 | TE38 (3.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | CAR | FLEX | 9.5 | TE10 (13.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | LAR | SIT | 8.4 | TE8 (15.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | IND | FLEX | 10.0 | TE26 (5.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | ATL | FLEX | 8.5 | TE22 (5.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | MIN | SIT | 8.5 | TE22 (7.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | TEN | SIT | 8.1 | TE35 (3.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | LAR | SIT | 6.4 | TE4 (17.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | ARI | FLEX | 9.2 | TE53 (0.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | WSH | FLEX | 8.9 | TE13 (11.5) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade