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AJ Barner
TE · SEA
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: projected outside startable range
2026 Wk 2
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs ARI: allows 16.9 PPR/g to TE, rank 2/32 (Soft). Trailing TE PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
SEA targets to TE
SEA routes 22% of pass targets to TE this season (23% over the trailing 8 wk), −0.4 SD vs the league TE average.
Primary passer Sam Darnold. 2025 share of pass targets to TE (101/451). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj7.6TE23
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (TE23), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs ARI
contextvs ARI: 4 games, 4.9 PPR avg
Small sample (4 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %88%
Target share9%
Opportunities2
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
99Average
#17 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
89Hard
#23 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
100Average
#17 of 32 · 17 games
TEschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole changesnaps ↓
Arroyo was a second-round pick by the Seahawks last season but ultimately lost the starting job to AJ Barner. - Seattle rested its starters and other key players, including quarterback Sam Darnold, running back George Holani, wide receivers
source ↗role changesnaps ↓
Arroyo was a second-round pick by the Seahawks last season but ultimately lost the starting job to AJ Barner. - Seattle rested its starters and other key players, including quarterback Sam Darnold, running back George Holani, wide receivers
source ↗- Can Drew Lock keep the Seahawks' offense afloat if Sam Darnold remains out?www.espn.com · 2026-09-11
- Can the Seahawks 'run it forward' and pull off a rare Super Bowl repeat?www.espn.com · 2026-09-09
- Nick Emmanwori questionable, Ty Okada out for Wednesday's season openerwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-08
- Seahawks S Nick Emmanwori remains limited, S Ty Okada DNP again on Mondaywww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-07
- Champion Seahawks ready to 'run it forward' in '26www.espn.com · 2026-09-01
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
8.7 PPR/g · best 24.3
1
✓
1
11
✗
2
3
✓
3
12
✗
4
24
✗
5
10
✓
6
2
✓
7
12
✗
9
0
✗
10
17
✗
11
4
✓
12
8
✓
13
6
✗
14
6
✗
15
15
✗
16
13
✓
17
3
✗
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1711.3 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 8.7 season averageour calls: 1/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs NE | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | – | – | 88% | 9% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | @SF | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | – | – | 61% | 12% | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 2025 W17 | @CAR | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1 | – | – | 79% | 12% | 13.3 | 11.8 | 10.3 |
| 2025 W16 | vsLAR | 6 | 4 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 94% | 19% | 15.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 |
| 2025 W15 | vsIND | 6 | 3 | 27 | 0 | – | – | 83% | 19% | 5.7 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| 2025 W14 | @ATL | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | – | – | 67% | 13% | 5.7 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| 2025 W13 | vsMIN | 5 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 85% | 22% | 7.7 | 5.7 | 3.7 |
| 2025 W12 | @TEN | 4 | 2 | 18 | 0 | – | – | 79% | 16% | 3.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 2025 W11 | @LAR | 11 | 10 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 87% | 26% | 17.1 | 12.1 | 7.1 |
| 2025 W10 | vsARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 37% | 0% | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 2025 W9 | @WSH | 4 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 84% | 17% | 11.5 | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| 2025 W7 | vsHOU | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 86% | 10% | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 2025 W6 | @JAX | 3 | 3 | 71 | 0 | – | – | 78% | 13% | 10.1 | 8.6 | 7.1 |
| 2025 W5 | vsTB | 7 | 7 | 53 | 2 | – | – | 80% | 21% | 24.3 | 20.8 | 17.3 |
| 2025 W4 | @ARI | 3 | 3 | 32 | 1 | – | – | 86% | 13% | 12.2 | 10.7 | 9.2 |
| 2025 W3 | vsNO | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | – | – | 54% | 5% | 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 2025 W2 | @PIT | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 89% | 10% | 10.8 | 9.8 | 8.8 |
| 2025 W1 | vsSF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 85% | 9% | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim63%hit rate
32 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 17%
of 6 Flex calls
🔴 73%
of 26 Sit calls
Based on 32 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | SF | FLEX | 9.0 | TE38 (3.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | CAR | FLEX | 9.5 | TE10 (13.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | LAR | SIT | 8.4 | TE8 (15.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | IND | FLEX | 10.0 | TE26 (5.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | ATL | FLEX | 8.5 | TE22 (5.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | MIN | SIT | 8.5 | TE22 (7.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | TEN | SIT | 8.1 | TE35 (3.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | LAR | SIT | 6.4 | TE4 (17.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | ARI | FLEX | 9.2 | TE53 (0.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | WSH | FLEX | 8.9 | TE13 (11.5) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade