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John Metchie III
WR · CAR
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2OUT
Why: OUT · INJ gate
2026 Wk 2
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs ATL: allows 33.2 PPR/g to WR, rank 10/32 (Soft). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
CAR targets to WR
CAR routes 59% of pass targets to WR this season (59% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.3 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer Bryce Young. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (274/464). Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs ATL
contextvs ATL: 2 games, 4.8 PPR avg (1 as HOU, 1 as NYJ)
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %71%
Target share20%
Opportunities4
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
97Hard
#28 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
94Hard
#27 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Hard
#24 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextout
returned, John Metchie III returned, Ja'seem Reed returned in the last game, Anthony Tyus III returned, Miles Davis has been out there all our kickoff days, and then some of the guys from last year too.
source ↗out
returned, John Metchie III returned, Ja'seem Reed returned in the last game, Anthony Tyus III returned, Miles Davis has been out there all our kickoff days, and then some of the guys from last year too.
source ↗- Joey Porter Jr. is inactive for the Steelerswww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-13
- Week 1 Inactives vs. Chicago: Ja'Tavion Sanders out for Bears gamewww.panthers.com · 2026-09-13
- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- Ex-New York Jets Progress Report: Part I (Offense)www.ganggreennation.com · 2026-09-05
- Ask The Old Guy: Switching into regular season modewww.panthers.com · 2026-09-04
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
4.5 PPR/g · best 18.5
0
✓
1
1
✓
2
2
✓
3
3
✓
4
0
✓
5
0
✓
6
0
✓
8
1
✓
10
14
✗
11
19
✗
12
6
✓
13
7
✓
14
7
✗
15
1
✗
16
7
✓
17
5
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–175.1 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 4.5 season averageour calls: 1/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | @BUF | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | – | – | 71% | 20% | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 |
| 2025 W17 | vsNE | 3 | 3 | 41 | 0 | – | – | 76% | 10% | 7.1 | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| 2025 W16 | @NO | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | – | – | 86% | 15% | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 2025 W15 | @JAX | 5 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 74% | 16% | 6.9 | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| 2025 W14 | vsMIA | 8 | 4 | 34 | 0 | – | – | 97% | 26% | 7.4 | 5.4 | 3.4 |
| 2025 W13 | vsATL | 8 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 97% | 26% | 5.7 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| 2025 W12 | @BAL | 7 | 6 | 65 | 1 | – | – | 86% | 27% | 18.5 | 15.5 | 12.5 |
| 2025 W11 | @NE | 3 | 3 | 45 | 1 | – | – | 82% | 12% | 13.5 | 12.0 | 10.5 |
| 2025 W10 | vsCLE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 16% | 9% | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.4 |
| 2025 W8 | vsNYG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 15% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W6 | @NYG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 5% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W5 | vsDEN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 7% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W4 | @TB | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | – | – | 9% | 8% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 2025 W3 | vsLAR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | – | – | 3% | 3% | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 2025 W2 | @KC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 12% | 5% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W1 | vsDAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 2% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 W18 | @ TEN | 4 | 2 | 24 | 0 | – | – | 60% | 14% | 4.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 2024 W17 | vsBAL | 8 | 5 | 48 | 0 | – | – | 71% | 26% | 9.8 | 7.3 | 4.8 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim83%hit rate
29 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 0%
of 2 Flex calls
🔴 89%
of 27 Sit calls
Based on 29 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | BUF | SIT | 7.7 | WR56 (5.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | NE | SIT | 9.1 | WR50 (7.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | NO | FLEX | 11.1 | WR110 (1.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | JAX | FLEX | 10.8 | WR55 (6.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | MIA | SIT | 9.2 | WR41 (7.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | ATL | SIT | 6.2 | WR58 (5.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | BAL | SIT | 2.5 | WR10 (18.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W11 | NE | SIT | 0.3 | WR18 (13.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | CLE | SIT | 0.6 | WR93 (0.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | NYG | SIT | 1.7 | WR124 (0.0) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade