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C.J. Stroud
QB · HOU
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
21.5
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs BUF: allows 13.1 PPR/g to QB, rank 29/32 (Tough). Trailing QB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs BUF
contextvs BUF: 1 game, 15.9 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W5 |  HOU | vs BUF | 28/38 | 331 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 15.9 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %65%
Target share0%
Opportunities2
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
102Average
#11 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
96Average
#20 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
102Average
#11 of 32 · 17 games
QBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- AFC Notes: Liam Coen, C.J. Stroud, Colts, Jaguars, Texansnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-28
- From Myles Garrett to Travis Kelce: Here are the s...www.espn.com · 2026-07-27
- Looking Ahead To The 2027 Quarterback Carouselnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-26
- Does the 2027 NFL draft class deserve all this hyp...www.espn.com · 2026-07-24
- NFL training camp is here! Biggest storylines, roster projections and previews for all 32 teamswww.espn.com · 2026-07-23
Game log
context| Week | Opp | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vs IND | 14/23 | 169 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 17.3 |
| 2025 W17 | @ LAC | 16/28 | 244 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13.8 |
| 2025 W16 | vs LV | 23/35 | 187 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.5 |
| 2025 W15 | vs ARI | 22/29 | 260 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 29.4 |
| 2025 W14 | @ KC | 15/31 | 203 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12.6 |
| 2025 W13 | @IND | 22/35 | 276 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 |
| 2025 W9 | vs DEN | 6/10 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.4 |
| 2025 W8 | vs SF | 30/39 | 318 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 21.7 |
| 2025 W7 | @ SEA | 23/49 | 229 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 13.7 |
| 2025 W5 | @ BAL | 23/27 | 244 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 28.8 |
| 2025 W4 | vs TEN | 22/28 | 233 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 18.4 |
| 2025 W3 | @ JAX | 25/38 | 204 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 10.4 |
| 2025 W2 | vs TB | 13/24 | 207 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 15.0 |
| 2025 W1 | @ LAR | 19/27 | 188 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 8.7 |
| 2024 W18 | @TEN | 6/6 | 50 | 1 | 0 | – | – | 6.0 |
| 2024 W17 | vsBAL | 17/31 | 185 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 6.1 |
| 2024 W16 | @KC | 23/39 | 244 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 16.1 |
| 2024 W15 | vs MIA | 18/26 | 131 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11.6 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim77%hit rate
31 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 43%
of 7 Flex calls
🔴 88%
of 24 Sit calls
Based on 31 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | IND | FLEX | 16.9 | QB10 (17.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | LAC | SIT | 15.1 | QB18 (13.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | LV | SIT | 15.2 | QB22 (11.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | ARI | SIT | 14.5 | QB2 (29.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | KC | SIT | 12.1 | QB17 (12.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | IND | SIT | 13.7 | QB26 (9.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | DEN | SIT | 16.6 | QB28 (4.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | SF | FLEX | 15.8 | QB11 (21.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | SEA | SIT | 15.1 | QB15 (13.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W5 | BAL | SIT | 15.5 | QB1 (28.8) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade