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Bijan Robinson
RB · ATL
START
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
DEEP STAT BOARD
Fantasy 2026 Pass-Catching Running Backs: The PPR Floor the Goal-Line Board Misses
FFMatchup · Sep 14, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Kyle Pitts Fantasy 2026: Is the Falcons TE a Value at TE7?
FFMatchup · Aug 18, 2026
WEEK 1 START/SIT
Week 1 Start/Sit: Our Model's Top Calls (Powered by Opportunity-Weighted DvP)
FFMatchup · Aug 9, 2026
DRAFT STRATEGY
The RB Age Cliff Meets 2026 ADP: Where the Board Is Buying Age
FFMatchup · Aug 9, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Drake London Fantasy 2026: A 30% Target Share With Atlanta's Deep Threat Gone
FFMatchup · Aug 3, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Bijan Robinson Fantasy 2026: 366 Touches and Production That Landed on His Usage
FFMatchup · Jul 26, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs CAR: allows 23.6 PPR/g to RB, rank 9/32 (Soft). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
ATL targets to RB
BoostATL routes 25% of pass targets to RB this season (29% over the trailing 8 wk), +1.7 SD vs the league RB average.
Primary passer Michael Penix Jr.. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (119/472). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj20.4RB2
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (RB2), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs CAR
contextvs CAR: 6 games, 20.6 PPR avg
Small sample (6 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share53%
Opportunities31
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
101Average
#12 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
103Easy
#10 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
100Average
#15 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextoutrole changesnaps ↑
For the Bills particularly, whose overall anxiety level will skyrocket when the single-elimination phase arrives, the prospect of the workhorse tailback tapping out due to a legitimate injury (or two) becomes more than enough reason to cons
source ↗outrole changesnaps ↑
For the Bills particularly, whose overall anxiety level will skyrocket when the single-elimination phase arrives, the prospect of the workhorse tailback tapping out due to a legitimate injury (or two) becomes more than enough reason to cons
source ↗- 2026 NFL Power Rankings: Week 2nfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-15
- NFL Power Rankings: Our post-Week 1 poll of all 32 teams, plus the best non-QB debutswww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- The Dirty Dozen: Bucs Or Browns Get A Get-Well Game?www.pewterreport.com · 2026-09-15
- Know Your Foe: Week 2, Atlanta Falconswww.panthers.com · 2026-09-15
- Monday Brew: Dave Canales addresses run defense, Coker on precautionary boot, and morewww.panthers.com · 2026-09-14
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
21.8 PPR/g · best 39.9
24
✓
1
20
✓
2
16
✓
3
28
✓
4
36
✓
6
21
✓
7
6
✗
8
18
✓
9
11
✓
10
30
✓
11
15
✓
12
30
✓
13
9
✗
14
30
✓
15
30
✓
16
40
✓
17
7
✗
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1733.1 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 21.8 season averageour calls: 3/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | @ PIT | 21 | 83 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 0% | 53% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vsNO | 15 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 84% | 10% | 7.3 | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| 2025 W17 | vsLAR | 22 | 195 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 1 | 79% | 40% | 39.9 | 37.4 | 34.9 |
| 2025 W16 | @ARI | 16 | 76 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 92 | 1 | 70% | 33% | 29.8 | 26.3 | 22.8 |
| 2025 W15 | @TB | 19 | 93 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 82 | 0 | 90% | 27% | 29.5 | 25.5 | 21.5 |
| 2025 W14 | vsSEA | 20 | 86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 67% | 7% | 9.4 | 8.4 | 7.4 |
| 2025 W13 | @NYJ | 23 | 142 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 87% | 23% | 30.3 | 27.8 | 25.3 |
| 2025 W12 | @NO | 14 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 66% | 10% | 14.7 | 13.7 | 12.7 |
| 2025 W11 | vsCAR | 23 | 104 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 85% | 17% | 30.3 | 28.3 | 26.3 |
| 2025 W10 | @IND | 17 | 84 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 86% | 8% | 10.8 | 9.8 | 8.8 |
| 2025 W9 | @NE | 12 | 46 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 0 | 96% | 29% | 17.6 | 13.6 | 9.6 |
| 2025 W8 | vsMIA | 9 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 60% | 10% | 5.8 | 4.3 | 2.8 |
| 2025 W7 | @SF | 14 | 40 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 1 | 88% | 22% | 21.2 | 18.2 | 15.2 |
| 2025 W6 | vsBUF | 19 | 170 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 0 | 74% | 26% | 35.8 | 32.8 | 29.8 |
| 2025 W4 | vsWSH | 17 | 75 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 106 | 0 | 69% | 19% | 28.1 | 26.1 | 24.1 |
| 2025 W3 | @CAR | 13 | 72 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 80% | 15% | 16.1 | 13.6 | 11.1 |
| 2025 W2 | @MIN | 22 | 143 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 65% | 24% | 19.8 | 18.3 | 16.8 |
| 2025 W1 | vsTB | 12 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 100 | 1 | 83% | 17% | 24.4 | 21.4 | 18.4 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim82%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 82%
of 34 Start calls
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | NO | START | 20.8 | RB29 (7.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | LAR | START | 19.4 | RB2 (39.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | ARI | START | 18.8 | RB4 (29.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | TB | START | 17.4 | RB4 (29.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | SEA | START | 18.1 | RB27 (9.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | NYJ | START | 17.3 | RB1 (30.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | NO | START | 15.9 | RB14 (14.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | CAR | START | 15.9 | RB4 (30.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | IND | START | 17.5 | RB24 (10.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | NE | START | 17.6 | RB7 (17.6) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade