
Why: high-scoring game, soft matchup
vs CIN: allows 28.3 PPR/g to RB, rank 1/32 (Soft). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
Primary passer C.J. Stroud. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (76/551). Descriptive context, never a model input.
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (RB39), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
No prior games vs CIN in the record.
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
Now, he gets a chance to be the bell-cow back in a backfield whose leading rushers were Woody Marks (3.6 yards per carry) and Nick Chubb last season.
source ↗Now, he gets a chance to be the bell-cow back in a backfield whose leading rushers were Woody Marks (3.6 yards per carry) and Nick Chubb last season.
source ↗| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs | 9 | 42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0% | 3% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vs | 10 | 48 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 46% | 11% | 6.8 | 5.8 | 4.8 |
| 2025 W17 | @ | 19 | 71 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 68% | 8% | 8.5 | 8.0 | 7.5 |
| 2025 W15 | vs | 7 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 22% | 4% | 4.8 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| 2025 W14 | @ | 26 | 68 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 87% | 11% | 15.6 | 14.6 | 13.6 |
| 2025 W13 | @ | 19 | 64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 54% | 3% | 7.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 |
| 2025 W12 | vs | 16 | 74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 0 | 69% | 4% | 7.9 | 7.4 | 6.9 |
| 2025 W11 | @ | 18 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 66% | 3% | 6.1 | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| 2025 W10 | vs | 14 | 63 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 80% | 7% | 16.1 | 15.1 | 14.1 |
| 2025 W9 | vs | 10 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48% | 8% | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 2025 W8 | vs | 11 | 62 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 40% | 11% | 15.1 | 13.1 | 11.1 |
| 2025 W7 | @ | 10 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 63% | 11% | 12.5 | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| 2025 W5 | @ | 7 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39% | 3% | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 2025 W4 | vs | 17 | 69 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 1 | 56% | 18% | 27.9 | 25.9 | 23.9 |
| 2025 W3 | @ | 6 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 48% | 6% | 4.6 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| 2025 W2 | vs | 3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 27% | 4% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W1 | @ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11% | 0% | – | – | – |
Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Based on 14 graded calls.
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | FLEX | 11.7 | RB31 (6.8) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W17 | FLEX | 10.9 | RB26 (8.5) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W15 | FLEX | 13.5 | RB48 (4.8) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W14 | FLEX | 11.6 | RB14 (15.6) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W13 | FLEX | 11.5 | RB42 (7.7) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W12 | FLEX | 11.2 | RB32 (7.9) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W11 | FLEX | 11.8 | RB41 (6.1) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W10 | FLEX | 9.0 | RB11 (16.1) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W9 | FLEX | 12.1 | RB46 (2.7) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W8 | FLEX | 11.2 | RB16 (15.1) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade