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Jaylen Waddle
WR · DEN
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: projected outside startable range
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Jaylen Waddle Fantasy 2026: What the Broncos Move Means for His Value
FFMatchup · Sep 10, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Bo Nix Fantasy 2026: Why the Broncos QB Is a Value at a QB13 Price
FFMatchup · Aug 24, 2026
USAGE VS MARKET
Courtland Sutton 2026: Denver Added Jaylen Waddle. Is He Still Draftable?
FFMatchup · Jul 24, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs JAX: allows 31.1 PPR/g to WR, rank 16/32 (Average). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
DEN targets to WR
DEN routes 61% of pass targets to WR this season (63% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.7 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer Bo Nix. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (348/570). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj14.0WR17
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR17), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs JAX
contextvs JAX: 1 game, 16.2 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W1 |  MIA· prior | vs JAX | 5 | 5 | 109 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16.2 | 13.7 | 11.2 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %25%
Target share5%
Opportunities2
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Hard
#24 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
95Hard
#24 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
97Hard
#26 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole change
But the Broncos traded for Jaylen Waddle to play opposite Courtland Sutton, so that's a crowded wide receivers room for new playcaller Davis Webb.
source ↗role change
The Broncos traded for wide receiver Jaylen Waddle, and Payton relinquished primary playcalling duties to newly promoted offensive coordinator Davis Webb.
source ↗- NFL Week 1 statistical review: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncoswww.pff.com · 2026-09-15
- 2026 NFL Power Rankings: Week 2nfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-15
- NFL Power Rankings: Our post-Week 1 poll of all 32 teams, plus the best non-QB debutswww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- These Broncos have a striking resemblance to Denver's last Super Bowl-winning teamwww.espn.com · 2026-09-14
- Broncos release WR Lil'Jordan Humphrey in procedural movewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-14
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
12.1 PPR/g · best 23.0
7
✓
1
18
✗
2
15
✗
3
8
✓
4
23
✓
5
16
✓
6
3
✗
7
21
✓
8
14
✗
9
19
✓
10
8
✗
11
7
✗
13
18
✓
14
5
✗
15
12
✗
16
1
✗
17
Fantasy playoffs · W15–175.8 PPR/g over 3 gamesbelow their 12.1 season averageour calls: 0/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | vsTB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 2025 W16 | vsCIN | 9 | 5 | 72 | 0 | – | – | 71% | 32% | 12.2 | 9.7 | 7.2 |
| 2025 W15 | @PIT | 4 | 2 | 26 | 0 | – | – | 84% | 16% | 4.6 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| 2025 W14 | @NYJ | 7 | 5 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 78% | 33% | 18.1 | 15.6 | 13.1 |
| 2025 W13 | vsNO | 6 | 3 | 40 | 0 | – | – | 92% | 30% | 7.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| 2025 W11 | vsWSH | 7 | 3 | 52 | 0 | – | – | 84% | 35% | 8.2 | 6.7 | 5.2 |
| 2025 W10 | vsBUF | 7 | 5 | 84 | 1 | – | – | 83% | 33% | 19.4 | 16.9 | 14.4 |
| 2025 W9 | vsBAL | 9 | 6 | 82 | 0 | – | – | 80% | 24% | 14.2 | 11.2 | 8.2 |
| 2025 W8 | @ATL | 6 | 5 | 99 | 1 | – | – | 78% | 23% | 20.9 | 18.4 | 15.9 |
| 2025 W7 | @CLE | 4 | 1 | 15 | 0 | – | – | 76% | 13% | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 2025 W6 | vsLAC | 8 | 6 | 95 | 0 | – | – | 81% | 28% | 15.8 | 12.8 | 9.8 |
| 2025 W5 | @CAR | 9 | 6 | 110 | 1 | – | – | 89% | 27% | 23.0 | 20.0 | 17.0 |
| 2025 W4 | vsNYJ | 6 | 3 | 48 | 0 | – | – | 90% | 24% | 7.8 | 6.3 | 4.8 |
| 2025 W3 | @BUF | 6 | 5 | 39 | 1 | – | – | 87% | 18% | 14.9 | 12.4 | 9.9 |
| 2025 W2 | vsNE | 6 | 5 | 68 | 1 | – | – | 82% | 20% | 17.8 | 15.3 | 12.8 |
| 2025 W1 | @IND | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | – | – | 64% | 17% | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 |
| 2024 W18 | @NYJ | 9 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 90% | 26% | 9.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 |
| 2024 W15 | @ HOU | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 38% | 5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim58%hit rate
31 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 100%
of 1 Start call
🟡 36%
of 14 Flex calls
🔴 75%
of 16 Sit calls
Based on 31 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | TB | FLEX | 11.7 | WR117 (0.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | CIN | FLEX | 11.8 | WR28 (12.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | PIT | FLEX | 13.4 | WR71 (4.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | NYJ | START | 13.1 | WR11 (18.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | NO | FLEX | 13.8 | WR49 (7.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W11 | WSH | FLEX | 12.5 | WR41 (8.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | BUF | FLEX | 11.7 | WR13 (19.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | BAL | FLEX | 12.6 | WR25 (14.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W8 | ATL | FLEX | 11.4 | WR5 (20.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | CLE | FLEX | 12.4 | WR88 (2.5) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade