
Why: projected outside startable range
vs CAR: allows 27.1 PPR/g to WR, rank 23/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
Primary passer Michael Penix Jr.. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (226/472). Descriptive context, never a model input.
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR86), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W14 | vs | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | @ | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 16% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vs | 8 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 94% | 24% | 7.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| 2025 W17 | @ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48% | 5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W16 | @ | 3 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 66% | 10% | 4.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 2025 W15 | vs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W14 | @ | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 49% | 8% | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 2025 W13 | vs | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 59% | 10% | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 2025 W12 | @ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54% | 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W11 | vs | 2 | 2 | 43 | 0 | 32% | 7% | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| 2025 W10 | @ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30% | 4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W8 | vs | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1 | 71% | 10% | 11.0 | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| 2025 W7 | @ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W6 | @ | 2 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 75% | 6% | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 2025 W5 | vs | 3 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 72% | 8% | 3.4 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 2025 W4 | @ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W3 | vs | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 78% | 10% | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 2025 W2 | @ | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 37% | 5% | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 2025 W1 | vs | 3 | 3 | 59 | 0 | 46% | 15% | 8.9 | 7.4 | 5.9 |
Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Based on 34 graded calls.
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | SIT | 3.6 | WR47 (7.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W17 | SIT | 4.2 | WR136 (0.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W16 | SIT | 3.9 | WR78 (4.3) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W15 | SIT | 4.5 | WR133 (0.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W14 | SIT | 3.6 | WR97 (1.3) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W13 | SIT | 4.5 | WR90 (2.2) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W12 | SIT | 4.4 | WR115 (0.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W11 | SIT | 4.3 | WR52 (6.3) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W10 | SIT | 4.9 | WR118 (0.0) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W8 | SIT | 4.0 | WR35 (11.0) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade