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Michael Wilson
WR · ARI
START
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Michael Wilson Fantasy 2026: Is the Cardinals WR a Breakout at a WR40 Price?
FFMatchup · Sep 8, 2026
DEEP STAT
Fantasy 2026 Air-Yards Sleepers: The Deep Threats Priced Below Their Usage
FFMatchup · Sep 7, 2026
WEEK 1 START/SIT
Week 1 Fantasy Start/Sit 2026: The Value Starts Beyond the Obvious Names
FFMatchup · Sep 3, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs SEA: allows 26.1 PPR/g to WR, rank 28/32 (Tough). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
ARI targets to WR
DowngradeARI routes 41% of pass targets to WR this season (43% over the trailing 8 wk), −1.5 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer Jacoby Brissett. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (212/520). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj10.1WR44
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR44), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs SEA
contextvs SEA: 6 games, 9.0 PPR avg
Small sample (6 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share19%
Opportunities7
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
102Average
#11 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
100Average
#16 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
101Average
#12 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole change
The Jaguars explored a deal in the range of the three-year, $75 million deal that Michael Wilson signed with the Cardinals, per Washington.
source ↗- Let's kick off NFL Week 2: Seven things Solak thinks -- including that Houston's offense could be decentwww.espn.com · 2026-09-15
- You've Got Mail: After A Win, Rivalry Weekwww.azcardinals.com · 2026-09-15
- Playing Truth Or Lies From Week 1nfltraderumors.co · 2026-09-14
- A Trey McBride Start That Just Underscores How Great He's Becomewww.azcardinals.com · 2026-09-14
- Source: Jags, WR Washington unlikely to agree to deal before seasonwww.espn.com · 2026-09-13
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
13.0 PPR/g · best 37.2
2
✓
1
8
✓
2
2
✓
3
5
✓
4
4
✓
5
8
✓
6
7
✓
7
9
✓
9
7
✓
10
34
✗
11
22
✓
12
7
✗
13
37
✓
14
16
✓
15
13
✗
16
20
✓
17
21
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1716.5 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 13.0 season averageour calls: 2/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | @ LAC | 7 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 0% | 19% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | @LAR | 8 | 5 | 99 | 1 | 93% | 29% | 20.9 | 18.4 | 15.9 |
| 2025 W17 | @CIN | 10 | 5 | 89 | 1 | 86% | 29% | 19.9 | 17.4 | 14.9 |
| 2025 W16 | vsATL | 3 | 2 | 52 | 1 | 86% | 10% | 13.2 | 12.2 | 11.2 |
| 2025 W15 | @HOU | 11 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 85% | 29% | 16.4 | 13.9 | 11.4 |
| 2025 W14 | vsLAR | 16 | 11 | 142 | 2 | 79% | 36% | 37.2 | 31.7 | 26.2 |
| 2025 W13 | @TB | 7 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 93% | 19% | 6.6 | 5.1 | 3.6 |
| 2025 W12 | vsJAX | 15 | 10 | 118 | 0 | 82% | 33% | 21.8 | 16.8 | 11.8 |
| 2025 W11 | vsSF | 18 | 15 | 185 | 0 | 82% | 32% | 33.5 | 26.0 | 18.5 |
| 2025 W10 | @SEA | 7 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 92% | 16% | 7.4 | 5.4 | 3.4 |
| 2025 W9 | @DAL | 4 | 3 | 61 | 0 | 72% | 14% | 9.1 | 7.6 | 6.1 |
| 2025 W7 | vsGB | 4 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 82% | 12% | 7.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| 2025 W6 | @IND | 5 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 75% | 13% | 8.4 | 6.4 | 4.4 |
| 2025 W5 | vsTEN | 4 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 69% | 13% | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 2025 W4 | vsSEA | 6 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 97% | 15% | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 2025 W3 | @SF | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 74% | 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 2025 W2 | vsCAR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 69% | 8% | 8.1 | 7.6 | 7.1 |
| 2025 W1 | @NO | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 67% | 14% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim91%hit rate
33 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 67%
of 6 Start calls
🟡 100%
of 1 Flex call
🔴 96%
of 26 Sit calls
Based on 33 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | LAR | START | 15.3 | WR6 (20.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | CIN | START | 14.5 | WR8 (19.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | ATL | START | 16.9 | WR25 (13.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | HOU | START | 17.9 | WR17 (16.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | LAR | START | 15.0 | WR1 (37.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | TB | START | 14.6 | WR51 (6.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W12 | JAX | FLEX | 12.1 | WR9 (21.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | SF | SIT | 8.6 | WR1 (33.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | SEA | SIT | 7.4 | WR44 (7.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | DAL | SIT | 8.2 | WR43 (9.1) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade