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Aidan O'Connell
QB · LV
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
22.0
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs MIA: allows 18.3 PPR/g to QB, rank 10/32 (Soft). Trailing QB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs MIA
contextvs MIA: 1 game, 9.1 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 W11 |  LV | @ MIA | 24/41 | 271 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9.1 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %82%
Target share0%
Opportunities1
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
93Hard
#32 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
98Average
#18 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
93Hard
#32 of 32 · 17 games
QBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- QB Cousins gets nod over Mendoza to open campwww.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- Klint Kubiak: Kirk Cousins is the starting QB, Fernando Mendoza and Aidan O'Connell should push himwww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-28
- NFL training camp is here! Biggest storylines, roster projections and previews for all 32 teamswww.espn.com · 2026-07-23
- Raiders ink No. 1 pick Mendoza to rookie contractwww.espn.com · 2026-07-23
- Solak makes bold predictions for the NFL season: T...www.espn.com · 2026-07-01
Game log
context| Week | Opp | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vs KC | 10/22 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4.8 |
| 2024 W18 | vs LAC | 24/34 | 214 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 15.9 |
| 2024 W17 | @ NO | 20/35 | 242 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 17.6 |
| 2024 W16 | vs JAX | 24/38 | 257 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 11.5 |
| 2024 W14 | @ TB | 11/19 | 104 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6.8 |
| 2024 W13 | @KC | 23/35 | 340 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.6 |
| 2024 W7 | @ LAR | 6/10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 2.1 |
| 2024 W6 | vs PIT | 27/40 | 227 | 1 | 1 | – | – | 11.1 |
| 2024 W5 | @ DEN | 10/20 | 94 | 0 | 1 | – | – | 1.8 |
| 2024 W3 | vs CAR | 9/12 | 82 | 1 | 0 | – | – | 7.3 |
| 2023 W18 | vsDEN | 20/31 | 244 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – |
| 2023 W17 | @ IND | 30/47 | 299 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | – |
| 2023 W16 | @KC | 9/21 | 62 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | – |
| 2023 W15 | vsLAC | 20/34 | 248 | 4 | 0 | – | – | – |
| 2023 W14 | vs MIN | 21/32 | 171 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | – |
| 2023 W12 | vsKC | 23/33 | 248 | 1 | 0 | – | – | – |
| 2023 W11 | @MIA | 24/41 | 271 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | – |
| 2023 W10 | vs NYJ | 16/27 | 153 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | – |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim80%hit rate
10 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 0%
of 1 Flex call
🔴 89%
of 9 Sit calls
Based on 10 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | KC | SIT | 12.8 | QB31 (4.8) | ✓ |
| 2024 W18 | LAC | SIT | 13.5 | QB13 (15.9) | ✓ |
| 2024 W17 | NO | SIT | 11.0 | QB15 (17.6) | ✓ |
| 2024 W16 | JAX | SIT | 11.5 | QB25 (11.5) | ✓ |
| 2024 W14 | TB | SIT | 9.9 | QB25 (6.8) | ✓ |
| 2024 W13 | KC | SIT | 5.5 | QB12 (19.6) | ✗ |
| 2024 W7 | LAR | SIT | 9.5 | QB33 (2.1) | ✓ |
| 2024 W6 | PIT | SIT | 9.9 | QB23 (11.1) | ✓ |
| 2024 W5 | DEN | SIT | 12.8 | QB31 (1.8) | ✓ |
| 2024 W3 | CAR | FLEX | 16.0 | QB30 (7.3) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade