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Jalen Tolbert
WR · MIA
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2OUT
Why: OUT · INJ gate
2026 Wk 2
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs SF: allows 32.1 PPR/g to WR, rank 13/32 (Average). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
MIA targets to WR
MIA routes 54% of pass targets to WR this season (48% over the trailing 8 wk), −0.9 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer Tua Tagovailoa. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (242/445). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj2.2WR123
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR123), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs SF
contextvs SF: 2 games, 3.7 PPR avg
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %38%
Target share5%
Opportunities1
Signal · descriptiveOpportunity rising, production lagging (last-3-week opportunities up vs the prior three while fantasy output hasn’t followed. Often a buy-low pattern.)
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
97Hard
#25 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
93Hard
#30 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Hard
#23 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- Reid's preseason 2027 NFL mock draft: Quarterbacks go 1-2-3 ... and one team trades up for the top pickwww.espn.com · 2026-08-26
- NFL Preseason Week 2 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from every gamewww.pff.com · 2026-08-24
- NFL Preseason Week 2 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Saturday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-08-22
- 📈 Ranking every NFL team by positional groupswww.espn.com · 2026-08-21
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
3.6 PPR/g · best 12.7
1
✓
1
4
✓
2
7
✓
3
10
✓
4
0
✓
5
2
✓
6
3
✓
7
13
✓
8
0
✓
9
0
✓
11
0
✓
13
7
✓
17
0
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–177.1 PPR/g over 1 gameabove their 3.6 season averageour calls: 1/1 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | @NYG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38% | 5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W17 | @WSH | 8 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 62% | 23% | 7.1 | 5.1 | 3.1 |
| 2025 W13 | vsKC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W11 | @LV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18% | 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W9 | vsARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W8 | @DEN | 2 | 2 | 47 | 1 | 19% | 6% | 12.7 | 11.7 | 10.7 |
| 2025 W7 | vsWSH | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 49% | 7% | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 2025 W6 | @CAR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 91% | 3% | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 2025 W5 | @NYJ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77% | 4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W4 | vsGB | 6 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 81% | 16% | 10.1 | 8.1 | 6.1 |
| 2025 W3 | @CHI | 6 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 88% | 14% | 7.4 | 5.9 | 4.4 |
| 2025 W2 | vsNYG | 4 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 65% | 8% | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 2025 W1 | @PHI | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 44% | 6% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 2024 W18 | vsWSH | 6 | 4 | 98 | 0 | 72% | 18% | 13.8 | 11.8 | 9.8 |
| 2024 W17 | @PHI | 4 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 68% | 14% | 12.0 | 10.5 | 9.0 |
| 2024 W16 | vs TB | 3 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 28% | 10% | 10.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 |
| 2024 W15 | @CAR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 49% | 7% | 8.1 | 7.6 | 7.1 |
| 2024 W14 | vs CIN | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65% | 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim87%hit rate
30 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 0%
of 2 Flex calls
🔴 93%
of 28 Sit calls
Based on 30 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | NYG | SIT | 3.8 | WR127 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | WSH | SIT | 3.0 | WR49 (7.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | KC | SIT | 3.2 | WR126 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | LV | SIT | 4.1 | WR122 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | ARI | SIT | 5.1 | WR116 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | DEN | SIT | 5.7 | WR28 (12.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | WSH | SIT | 7.5 | WR86 (2.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W6 | CAR | SIT | 7.3 | WR89 (1.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W5 | NYJ | SIT | 7.0 | WR113 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W4 | GB | SIT | 7.0 | WR33 (10.1) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade