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J.K. Dobbins
RB · DEN
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: limited usage, tough matchup
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
19.9
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs KC: allows 19.1 PPR/g to RB, rank 27/32 (Tough). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs KC
contextvs KC: 1 game, 9.2 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W4 |  LAC· prior | vs KC | 14 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 9.2 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %52%
Target share4%
Opportunities19
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Hard
#26 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
102Average
#12 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Hard
#26 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- One 2026 Breakout Candidate For All 32 NFL Teamsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-27
- Top Free Agent Landing Spots For RB Najee Harrisnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-23
- Mock draft: Non-PPR formats are a throwback to run...www.espn.com · 2026-07-20
- Sean Payton’s reunion plans hit a roadblock as Saints confirm Alvin Kamara dealwww.yardbarker.com · 2026-07-18
- Mock draft: 12-team league can shift your quarterb...www.espn.com · 2026-07-13
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W10 | vs LV | 18 | 77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 52% | 4% | 9.4 |
| 2025 W9 | @ HOU | 15 | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 46% | 3% | 6.9 |
| 2025 W8 | vs DAL | 15 | 111 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 52% | 7% | 14.1 |
| 2025 W7 | vs NYG | 14 | 81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 49% | 2% | 9.0 |
| 2025 W6 | @ NYJ | 14 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 4% | 4.0 |
| 2025 W5 | @ PHI | 20 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 53% | 3% | 15.4 |
| 2025 W4 | vs CIN | 16 | 101 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 44% | 2% | 11.5 |
| 2025 W3 | @LAC | 11 | 83 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 67% | 9% | 15.3 |
| 2025 W2 | @ IND | 14 | 76 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 45% | 7% | 15.5 |
| 2025 W1 | vs TEN | 16 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 53% | 6% | 14.8 |
| 2024 W18 | @LV | 18 | 63 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 65% | 9% | 10.5 |
| 2024 W17 | @ NE | 19 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 53% | 3% | 15.3 |
| 2024 W12 | vs BAL | 6 | 40 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 30% | 14% | 8.9 |
| 2024 W11 | vsCIN | 11 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 73% | 3% | 18.9 |
| 2024 W10 | vsTEN | 15 | 50 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 66% | 17% | 8.5 |
| 2024 W9 | @ CLE | 14 | 85 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 74% | 8% | 24.5 |
| 2024 W8 | vs NO | 17 | 57 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 82% | 24% | 16.8 |
| 2024 W7 | @ ARI | 14 | 40 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 68% | 8% | 9.6 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim55%hit rate
22 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 20%
of 5 Start calls
🟡 65%
of 17 Flex calls
Based on 22 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W10 | LV | FLEX | 10.5 | RB30 (9.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | HOU | FLEX | 10.5 | RB32 (6.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W8 | DAL | FLEX | 11.4 | RB17 (14.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | NYG | FLEX | 12.2 | RB24 (9.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W6 | NYJ | FLEX | 13.2 | RB48 (4.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W5 | PHI | FLEX | 12.0 | RB16 (15.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W4 | CIN | FLEX | 13.6 | RB28 (11.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W3 | LAC | FLEX | 12.6 | RB13 (15.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W2 | IND | FLEX | 11.9 | RB16 (15.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W1 | TEN | FLEX | 12.9 | RB13 (14.8) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade