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Tua Tagovailoa
QB · ATL
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
19.4
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs PIT: allows 18.8 PPR/g to QB, rank 6/32 (Soft). Trailing QB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs PIT
contextvs PIT: 1 game, 16.2 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W15 |  MIA· prior | @ PIT | 22/28 | 253 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16.2 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %100%
Target share0%
Opportunities1
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
101Average
#14 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
110Easy
#5 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
101Average
#14 of 32 · 17 games
QBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- From Myles Garrett to Travis Kelce: Here are the s...www.espn.com · 2026-07-27
- One 2026 Breakout Candidate For All 32 NFL Teamsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-27
- Ranking the NFL’s three worst offseason decisionswww.yardbarker.com · 2026-07-27
- Looking Ahead To The 2027 Quarterback Carouselnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-26
- Jordyn Brooks is at the center of the Dolphins' cultural changewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-25
Game log
context| Week | Opp | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W15 | @PIT | 22/28 | 253 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16.2 |
| 2025 W14 | @ NYJ | 13/21 | 127 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.1 |
| 2025 W13 | vs NO | 12/23 | 157 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.7 |
| 2025 W11 | vs WSH | 14/20 | 171 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 6.8 |
| 2025 W10 | vs BUF | 15/21 | 173 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 10.8 |
| 2025 W9 | vs BAL | 25/40 | 261 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 |
| 2025 W8 | @ ATL | 20/26 | 205 | 4 | 0 | – | – | 24.2 |
| 2025 W7 | @ CLE | 12/23 | 100 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 2025 W6 | vs LAC | 21/32 | 205 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6.6 |
| 2025 W5 | @ CAR | 27/36 | 256 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 22.7 |
| 2025 W4 | vsNYJ | 17/25 | 177 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 15.7 |
| 2025 W3 | @BUF | 22/34 | 146 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 12.8 |
| 2025 W2 | vs NE | 26/32 | 315 | 2 | 1 | – | – | 18.6 |
| 2025 W1 | @ IND | 14/23 | 114 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 5.3 |
| 2024 W16 | vs SF | 22/34 | 215 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12.5 |
| 2024 W15 | @ HOU | 29/40 | 196 | 1 | 3 | – | – | 3.8 |
| 2024 W14 | vsNYJ | 33/47 | 331 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23.5 |
| 2024 W13 | @ GB | 37/46 | 365 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 25.2 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim68%hit rate
25 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 50%
of 2 Start calls
🟡 40%
of 5 Flex calls
🔴 78%
of 18 Sit calls
Based on 25 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W15 | PIT | SIT | 12.2 | QB18 (16.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | NYJ | SIT | 13.2 | QB21 (9.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | NO | SIT | 14.4 | QB29 (4.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | WSH | SIT | 14.0 | QB26 (6.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | BUF | SIT | 12.5 | QB20 (10.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | BAL | SIT | 13.8 | QB25 (8.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | ATL | SIT | 12.5 | QB6 (24.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W7 | CLE | SIT | 13.1 | QB37 (-1.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W6 | LAC | SIT | 15.4 | QB29 (6.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W5 | CAR | SIT | 14.5 | QB9 (22.7) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade