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Michael Carter
RB · TEN
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
20.5
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs NYJ: allows 27.7 PPR/g to RB, rank 2/32 (Soft). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs NYJ
contextNo prior games vs NYJ in the record.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %53%
Target share11%
Opportunities10
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
100Average
#18 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
91Hard
#31 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
100Average
#18 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Copy of Could an NFL roster of only bench players be compe...www.espn.com · 2026-07-20
- 2026 Positional Spending Rankings: Safetiesnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-08
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | @ LAR | 7 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 53% | 11% | 6.9 |
| 2025 W17 | @ CIN | 7 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 44% | 11% | 6.3 |
| 2025 W16 | vs ATL | 11 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53% | 7% | 6.5 |
| 2025 W15 | @ HOU | 14 | 56 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 80% | 11% | 13.4 |
| 2025 W14 | vsLAR | 3 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 53% | 9% | 5.1 |
| 2025 W13 | @ TB | 5 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 52% | 16% | 11.4 |
| 2025 W12 | vs JAX | 5 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 56% | 7% | 8.8 |
| 2025 W11 | vs SF | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 42% | 13% | 7.8 |
| 2025 W10 | @ SEA | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11% | 0% | 0.4 |
| 2025 W7 | vs GB | 7 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 37% | 6% | 5.6 |
| 2025 W6 | @ IND | 9 | 34 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 44% | 13% | 8.4 |
| 2025 W5 | vs TEN | 18 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 57% | 17% | 18.3 |
| 2025 W4 | vsSEA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6% | 0% | 0.1 |
| 2024 W18 | vsSF | 17 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 77% | 13% | 15.9 |
| 2024 W17 | @LAR | 13 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 72% | 4% | 10.1 |
| 2024 W16 | @ CAR | 5 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 36% | 17% | 9.8 |
| 2023 W18 | vsSEA | 4 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13% | 7% | – |
| 2023 W17 | @ PHI | 7 | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 17% | 3% | – |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim56%hit rate
16 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 29%
of 7 Flex calls
🔴 78%
of 9 Sit calls
Based on 16 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | LAR | FLEX | 9.3 | RB30 (6.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | CIN | FLEX | 11.2 | RB38 (6.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | ATL | FLEX | 11.0 | RB44 (6.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | HOU | SIT | 8.2 | RB18 (13.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | LAR | SIT | 7.2 | RB44 (5.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | TB | SIT | 6.5 | RB27 (11.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | JAX | SIT | 6.7 | RB26 (8.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | SF | SIT | 8.4 | RB38 (7.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | SEA | SIT | 7.7 | RB62 (0.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | GB | SIT | 9.8 | RB38 (5.6) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade