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Justin Herbert
QB · LAC
START
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: heavy usage, high-scoring game
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
28.4
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs ARI: allows 17.3 PPR/g to QB, rank 13/32 (Average). Trailing QB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs ARI
contextvs ARI: 1 game, 14.8 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W7 |  LAC | @ ARI | 27/39 | 349 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 14.8 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %100%
Target share0%
Opportunities6
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
99Average
#20 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
107Easy
#9 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
99Average
#20 of 32 · 17 games
QBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole change
It’s a good problem to have, but he’s doing well.” Chargers Chargers OL Kayode Awosika and Cole Strange are competing for starting spots on the offensive line protecting QB Justin Herbert, and each man gave their thoughts on the competition
source ↗- NFL Training Camp Roundup: Tuesday, July 28www.pff.com · 2026-07-28
- 💍 Justin Herbert and Madison Beer get engagedwww.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- Looking Ahead To The 2027 Quarterback Carouselnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-26
- NFL Trade Rumors Top 100 Players: 20-11nfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-23
- NFL training camp is here! Biggest storylines, roster projections and previews for all 32 teamswww.espn.com · 2026-07-23
Game log
context| Week | Opp | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | vs HOU | 21/32 | 236 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 15.1 |
| 2025 W16 | @ DAL | 23/29 | 300 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 30.2 |
| 2025 W15 | @ KC | 19/29 | 210 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.4 |
| 2025 W14 | vs PHI | 12/26 | 139 | 1 | 1 | 66 | 0 | 12.2 |
| 2025 W13 | vs LV | 15/20 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 12.8 |
| 2025 W11 | @ JAX | 10/18 | 81 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 2025 W10 | vs PIT | 20/33 | 220 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 14.7 |
| 2025 W9 | @ TEN | 19/29 | 250 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 1 | 27.7 |
| 2025 W8 | vs MIN | 18/25 | 227 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 0 | 25.3 |
| 2025 W7 | vs IND | 37/55 | 420 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 27.9 |
| 2025 W6 | @ MIA | 29/38 | 264 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18.8 |
| 2025 W5 | vs WSH | 22/29 | 166 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 0 | 14.6 |
| 2025 W4 | @ NYG | 23/41 | 203 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 12.5 |
| 2025 W3 | vs DEN | 28/47 | 300 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 14.6 |
| 2025 W2 | @LV | 19/27 | 242 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 18.8 |
| 2025 W1 | vsKC | 25/34 | 318 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 27.9 |
| 2024 W18 | @LV | 28/36 | 346 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 28.0 |
| 2024 W17 | @ NE | 26/38 | 281 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 24.4 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim61%hit rate
33 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 30%
of 10 Start calls
🟡 70%
of 10 Flex calls
🔴 77%
of 13 Sit calls
Based on 33 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | HOU | FLEX | 16.1 | QB16 (15.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | DAL | SIT | 14.5 | QB4 (30.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | KC | SIT | 12.8 | QB27 (10.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | PHI | SIT | 14.7 | QB18 (12.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | LV | FLEX | 17.6 | QB21 (12.8) | ✗ |
| 2025 W11 | JAX | START | 19.5 | QB31 (3.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | PIT | START | 19.8 | QB17 (14.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | TEN | START | 19.3 | QB4 (27.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | MIN | FLEX | 16.9 | QB4 (25.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | IND | FLEX | 16.3 | QB3 (27.9) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade