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Rico Dowdle
RB · PIT
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
22.4
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs ATL: allows 21.4 PPR/g to RB, rank 18/32 (Average). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs ATL
contextvs ATL: 3 games, 15.8 PPR avg (1 as DAL, 2 as CAR)
Small sample (3 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %53%
Target share7%
Opportunities9
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Hard
#29 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
102Average
#13 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Hard
#29 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole change
CB Jamel Dean (Buccaneers), RB Rico Dowdle (Panthers), traded for WR Michael Pittman (Colts).
source ↗- Top Free Agent Landing Spots For RB Najee Harrisnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-23
- NFL training camp is here! Biggest storylines, roster projections and previews for all 32 teamswww.espn.com · 2026-07-23
- Dave Canales: Jonathon Brooks looks like "guy that I remember"www.nbcsports.com · 2026-07-23
- Dart, Tate and others primed to follow path of 202...www.espn.com · 2026-07-22
- Draft advice: Opportunity opens for these 6 player...www.espn.com · 2026-07-21
Game log
context| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | @ TB | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 53% | 7% | 3.0 |
| 2025 W17 | vs SEA | 12 | 59 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 64% | 24% | 9.3 |
| 2025 W16 | vsTB | 9 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 57% | 19% | 8.3 |
| 2025 W15 | @ NO | 16 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 60% | 5% | 12.4 |
| 2025 W13 | vs LAR | 18 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 42% | 10% | 9.9 |
| 2025 W12 | @ SF | 6 | 38 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 65% | 15% | 11.4 |
| 2025 W11 | @ ATL | 19 | 45 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 83% | 16% | 15.0 |
| 2025 W10 | vsNO | 18 | 53 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 79% | 13% | 15.3 |
| 2025 W9 | @ GB | 25 | 130 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 72% | 16% | 28.1 |
| 2025 W8 | vs BUF | 8 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36% | 0% | 5.4 |
| 2025 W7 | @ NYJ | 17 | 79 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 46% | 7% | 10.6 |
| 2025 W6 | vs DAL | 30 | 183 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 1 | 88% | 24% | 33.9 |
| 2025 W5 | vs MIA | 23 | 206 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 67% | 15% | 32.4 |
| 2025 W4 | @ NE | 9 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 39% | 3% | 4.0 |
| 2025 W3 | vsATL | 10 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 40% | 4% | 10.8 |
| 2025 W2 | @ ARI | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 29% | 2% | 2.9 |
| 2025 W1 | @ JAX | 3 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 34% | 9% | 3.6 |
| 2024 W18 | vs WSH | 22 | 72 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 67% | 9% | 16.4 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim61%hit rate
33 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 60%
of 10 Start calls
🟡 63%
of 16 Flex calls
🔴 57%
of 7 Sit calls
Based on 33 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | TB | FLEX | 10.8 | RB57 (3.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | SEA | SIT | 10.7 | RB23 (9.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | TB | FLEX | 12.5 | RB36 (8.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | NO | FLEX | 13.6 | RB21 (12.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | LAR | START | 15.3 | RB36 (9.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W12 | SF | START | 14.8 | RB21 (11.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | ATL | FLEX | 13.0 | RB17 (15.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | NO | START | 15.8 | RB14 (15.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | GB | START | 15.0 | RB2 (28.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | BUF | START | 15.9 | RB39 (5.4) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade