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T.J. Hockenson
TE · MIN
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: projected outside startable range
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs CHI: allows 12.9 PPR/g to TE, rank 18/32 (Average). Trailing TE PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
MIN targets to TE
MIN routes 20% of pass targets to TE this season (23% over the trailing 8 wk), −0.4 SD vs the league TE average.
Primary passer J.J. McCarthy. 2025 share of pass targets to TE (93/463). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj8.5TE19
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (TE19), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs CHI
contextvs CHI: 6 games, 11.2 PPR avg
Small sample (6 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share22%
Opportunities5
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
100Average
#14 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
110Easy
#5 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
100Average
#14 of 32 · 17 games
TEschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- PR Roundtable: One Thing Bucs Should Worry About After Week 1www.pewterreport.com · 2026-09-15
- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- Solak picks X factors for all 32 NFL teams: Which players could sway the 2026 season?www.espn.com · 2026-09-04
- Let's predict the NFL draft -- eight months early: Kiper's 10 big preseason takeswww.espn.com · 2026-09-04
- Ranking the NFL's top 100 players for this season, from Myles Garrett to ...www.espn.com · 2026-09-01
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
7.5 PPR/g · best 15.9
5
✓
1
2
✓
2
16
✗
3
8
✗
4
10
✗
5
10
✗
7
5
✗
8
9
✗
9
3
✓
10
7
✓
11
6
✓
12
12
✗
13
9
✗
14
11
✓
15
1
✓
16
Fantasy playoffs · W15–175.9 PPR/g over 2 gamesbelow their 7.5 season averageour calls: 2/2 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vsGB | 5 | 4 | 36 | 1 | – | – | 0% | 22% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W16 | @NYG | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | – | – | 75% | 4% | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2025 W15 | @DAL | 5 | 4 | 66 | 0 | – | – | 80% | 21% | 10.6 | 8.6 | 6.6 |
| 2025 W14 | vsWSH | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 | – | – | 56% | 13% | 9.2 | 8.2 | 7.2 |
| 2025 W13 | @SEA | 6 | 6 | 59 | 0 | – | – | 79% | 21% | 11.9 | 8.9 | 5.9 |
| 2025 W12 | @GB | 4 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 68% | 22% | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| 2025 W11 | vsCHI | 6 | 3 | 39 | 0 | – | – | 80% | 19% | 6.9 | 5.4 | 3.9 |
| 2025 W10 | vsBAL | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | – | – | 91% | 5% | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 2025 W9 | @DET | 3 | 2 | 11 | 1 | – | – | 77% | 13% | 9.1 | 8.1 | 7.1 |
| 2025 W8 | @LAC | 3 | 2 | 26 | 0 | – | – | 82% | 10% | 4.6 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| 2025 W7 | vsPHI | 9 | 6 | 43 | 0 | – | – | 83% | 23% | 10.3 | 7.3 | 4.3 |
| 2025 W5 | @CLE | 6 | 6 | 38 | 0 | – | – | 85% | 18% | 9.8 | 6.8 | 3.8 |
| 2025 W4 | @PIT | 5 | 4 | 39 | 0 | – | – | 93% | 12% | 7.9 | 5.9 | 3.9 |
| 2025 W3 | vsCIN | 6 | 5 | 49 | 1 | – | – | 68% | 25% | 15.9 | 13.4 | 10.9 |
| 2025 W2 | vsATL | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | – | – | 72% | 14% | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 2025 W1 | @CHI | 4 | 3 | 15 | 0 | – | – | 80% | 20% | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 2024 W18 | @DET | 8 | 2 | 9 | 0 | – | – | 78% | 21% | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 2024 W17 | vsGB | 6 | 5 | 68 | 0 | – | – | 69% | 15% | 11.8 | 9.3 | 6.8 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim36%hit rate
25 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 13%
of 15 Flex calls
🔴 70%
of 10 Sit calls
Based on 25 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W16 | NYG | SIT | 9.0 | TE61 (1.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | DAL | SIT | 8.7 | TE13 (10.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | WSH | FLEX | 8.4 | TE15 (9.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | SEA | SIT | 7.4 | TE11 (11.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W12 | GB | SIT | 6.8 | TE23 (5.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | CHI | SIT | 7.7 | TE19 (6.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | BAL | SIT | 8.7 | TE38 (2.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | DET | FLEX | 8.7 | TE20 (9.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W8 | LAC | FLEX | 10.2 | TE26 (4.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W7 | PHI | FLEX | 8.8 | TE16 (10.3) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade