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Ty Johnson
RB · BUF
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2OUT
Why: OUT · INJ gate
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs DET: allows 19.4 PPR/g to RB, rank 24/32 (Tough). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
BUF targets to RB
BUF routes 18% of pass targets to RB this season (22% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.7 SD vs the league RB average.
Primary passer Josh Allen. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (86/476). Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs DET
contextvs DET: 1 game, 17.3 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W15 |  BUF | @ DET | 2 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 114 | 0 | 17.3 | 14.8 | 12.3 |
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Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %33%
Target share7%
Opportunities15
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
100Average
#18 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
95Hard
#27 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
99Average
#22 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- DJ Moore not on Bills' estimated injury report, says he's finewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-14
- Joey Porter Jr. is inactive for the Steelerswww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-13
- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- DL T.J. Sanders listed as questionable for the Billswww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-11
- Week 1 inactives: Status for Jeanty, Love, Odunze and otherswww.espn.com · 2026-09-11
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
5.9 PPR/g · best 19.6
2
✓
1
1
✓
2
3
✓
3
0
✓
4
1
✓
5
3
✓
6
1
✓
8
10
✗
9
5
✓
10
15
✗
11
8
✓
12
6
✓
13
6
✓
14
6
✓
15
8
✓
16
8
✓
17
20
✗
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–177.1 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 5.9 season averageour calls: 3/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vsNYJ | 13 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 33% | 7% | 19.6 | 18.6 | 17.6 |
| 2025 W17 | vsPHI | 5 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 38% | 12% | 7.8 | 6.3 | 4.8 |
| 2025 W16 | @CLE | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32% | 0% | 7.6 | 7.6 | 7.6 |
| 2025 W15 | @NE | 4 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 26% | 12% | 5.8 | 4.3 | 2.8 |
| 2025 W14 | vsCIN | 2 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 25% | 11% | 5.9 | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| 2025 W13 | @PIT | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 27% | 22% | 5.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| 2025 W12 | @HOU | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 35% | 10% | 8.2 | 6.7 | 5.2 |
| 2025 W11 | vsTB | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 61 | 1 | 32% | 7% | 15.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| 2025 W10 | @MIA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 40% | 5% | 4.6 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| 2025 W9 | vsKC | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 20% | 8% | 10.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 |
| 2025 W8 | @CAR | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32% | 0% | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 2025 W6 | @ATL | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 42% | 8% | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 2025 W5 | vsNE | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18% | 0% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 2025 W4 | vsNO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W3 | vsMIA | 3 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 25% | 7% | 3.1 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| 2025 W2 | @NYJ | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25% | 4% | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 2025 W1 | vsBAL | 2 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33% | 4% | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 2024 W18 | @NE | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25% | 7% | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim79%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 0%
of 1 Flex call
🔴 82%
of 33 Sit calls
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | NYJ | SIT | 7.3 | RB6 (19.6) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | PHI | SIT | 6.1 | RB30 (7.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | CLE | SIT | 6.5 | RB41 (7.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | NE | SIT | 7.5 | RB41 (5.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | CIN | SIT | 8.7 | RB41 (5.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | PIT | SIT | 7.6 | RB48 (5.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | HOU | SIT | 6.9 | RB30 (8.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | TB | SIT | 6.2 | RB16 (15.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | MIA | SIT | 5.8 | RB42 (4.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | KC | SIT | 4.1 | RB22 (10.0) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade