
Why: heavy usage, soft matchup



vs CHI: allows 35.9 PPR/g to WR, rank 3/32 (Soft). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
Primary passer J.J. McCarthy. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (292/463). Descriptive context, never a model input.
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR59), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
With Pearsall already ruled out for the year due to a knee injury and staple Jauan Jennings gone, head coach Kyle Shanahan has a much thinner unit to work with.
source ↗With Pearsall already ruled out for the year due to a knee injury and staple Jauan Jennings gone, head coach Kyle Shanahan has a much thinner unit to work with.
source ↗| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | vs | 6 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 88% | 24% | 7.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| 2025 W17 | vs | 4 | 2 | 42 | 1 | 90% | 13% | 12.2 | 11.2 | 10.2 |
| 2025 W16 | @ | 6 | 5 | 71 | 1 | 82% | 18% | 18.1 | 15.6 | 13.1 |
| 2025 W15 | vs | 5 | 3 | 37 | 2 | 81% | 19% | 18.7 | 17.2 | 15.7 |
| 2025 W13 | @ | 6 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 81% | 29% | 13.9 | 11.9 | 9.9 |
| 2025 W12 | vs | 7 | 5 | 41 | 1 | 90% | 22% | 15.1 | 12.6 | 10.1 |
| 2025 W11 | @ | 6 | 4 | 54 | 0 | 75% | 26% | 9.4 | 7.4 | 5.4 |
| 2025 W10 | vs | 9 | 6 | 71 | 1 | 92% | 24% | 17.1 | 14.1 | 11.1 |
| 2025 W9 | @ | 5 | 4 | 41 | 1 | 79% | 24% | 14.1 | 12.1 | 10.1 |
| 2025 W8 | @ | 7 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 85% | 24% | 8.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 |
| 2025 W7 | vs | 7 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 85% | 32% | 7.1 | 5.1 | 3.1 |
| 2025 W6 | @ | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 77% | 8% | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 2025 W4 | vs | 4 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 73% | 12% | 6.4 | 5.4 | 4.4 |
| 2025 W2 | @ | 10 | 5 | 89 | 1 | 87% | 27% | 19.9 | 17.4 | 14.9 |
| 2025 W1 | @ | 5 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 66% | 16% | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 2024 W18 | @ | 10 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 33% | 26% | 12.2 | 8.7 | 5.2 |
| 2024 W17 | vs | 10 | 7 | 67 | 0 | 94% | 29% | 13.7 | 10.2 | 6.7 |
Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Based on 30 graded calls.
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | FLEX | 11.8 | WR40 (7.5) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W17 | FLEX | 13.0 | WR25 (12.2) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W16 | FLEX | 12.5 | WR16 (18.1) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W15 | FLEX | 13.4 | WR12 (18.7) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W13 | FLEX | 12.1 | WR20 (13.9) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W12 | FLEX | 12.7 | WR19 (15.1) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W11 | FLEX | 12.7 | WR36 (9.4) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W10 | SIT | 10.1 | WR16 (17.1) | ✗ | |
| 2025 W9 | SIT | 9.3 | WR26 (14.1) | ✓ | |
| 2025 W8 | SIT | 9.7 | WR47 (8.5) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade