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Patrick Mahomes
QB · KC
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 1QUESTIONABLE
Why: projected outside startable range
OFFSEASON2026 Wk 1
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
22.6
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs DEN: allows 14.2 PPR/g to QB, rank 24/32 (Tough). Trailing QB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W1. Descriptive context, never a model input.
History vs DEN
contextvs DEN: 4 games, 13.2 PPR avg
Small sample (4 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %92%
Target share0%
Opportunities2
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
95Hard
#29 of 32 · 17 games
Fantasy playoffs
93Hard
#24 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
95Hard
#29 of 32 · 17 games
QBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole change
With longtime right tackle Jawaan Taylor traded to the Falcons and the team bypassing tackle in the draft, Moore pencils in as Patrick Mahomes’ starting right tackle.
source ↗- Stacking the most impactful NFL offseason moves: 5...www.espn.com · 2026-07-28
- Ranking the NFL’s highest-graded players in primetimewww.pff.com · 2026-07-28
- Jalon Daniels Camp Diary: Bringing Positive Energy To The Bucswww.pewterreport.com · 2026-07-28
- AFC Notes: Patrick Mahomes, Akheem Mesidor, Broncos, Chargers, Chiefsnfltraderumors.co · 2026-07-28
- NFL Training Camp Roundup: Tuesday, July 28www.pff.com · 2026-07-28
Game log
context| Week | Opp | C/A | Pass | PaTD | INT | RuYd | RuTD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W15 | vs LAC | 16/28 | 189 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 13.1 |
| 2025 W14 | vs HOU | 14/33 | 160 | 0 | 3 | 59 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 2025 W13 | @ DAL | 23/34 | 261 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 29.4 |
| 2025 W12 | vs IND | 29/46 | 352 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 17.1 |
| 2025 W11 | @ DEN | 29/45 | 276 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13.3 |
| 2025 W9 | @ BUF | 15/34 | 250 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10.5 |
| 2025 W8 | vs WSH | 25/34 | 299 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 23.0 |
| 2025 W7 | vs LV | 26/35 | 286 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 26.2 |
| 2025 W6 | vs DET | 22/30 | 257 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 31.5 |
| 2025 W5 | @ JAX | 29/41 | 318 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 1 | 26.7 |
| 2025 W4 | vs BAL | 25/37 | 270 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 27.3 |
| 2025 W3 | @ NYG | 22/37 | 224 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13.2 |
| 2025 W2 | vs PHI | 16/29 | 187 | 1 | 1 | 66 | 1 | 22.1 |
| 2025 W1 | @LAC | 24/39 | 258 | 1 | 0 | 57 | 1 | 26.0 |
| 2024 W17 | @ PIT | 29/38 | 320 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 26.0 |
| 2024 W16 | vsHOU | 28/41 | 260 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 23.7 |
| 2024 W15 | @ CLE | 19/38 | 159 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 15.8 |
| 2024 W14 | vsLAC | 24/37 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 14.1 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Full history
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Accuracy
our claim53%hit rate
30 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 54%
of 13 Start calls
🟡 50%
of 16 Flex calls
🔴 100%
of 1 Sit call
Based on 30 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W15 | LAC | FLEX | 16.9 | QB24 (13.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | HOU | FLEX | 16.3 | QB24 (6.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | DAL | START | 17.7 | QB1 (29.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | IND | FLEX | 17.5 | QB11 (17.1) | ✓ |
| 2025 W11 | DEN | START | 18.6 | QB14 (13.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | BUF | START | 21.1 | QB22 (10.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W8 | WSH | START | 21.7 | QB10 (23.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W7 | LV | START | 21.2 | QB5 (26.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W6 | DET | START | 19.8 | QB1 (31.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W5 | JAX | START | 18.9 | QB4 (26.7) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade