Loading…
Courtland Sutton
WR · DEN
START
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: heavy usage, soft matchup
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Jaylen Waddle Fantasy 2026: What the Broncos Move Means for His Value
FFMatchup · Sep 10, 2026
DEEP STAT
Fantasy 2026 Air-Yards Sleepers: The Deep Threats Priced Below Their Usage
FFMatchup · Sep 7, 2026
PLAYER OUTLOOK
Bo Nix Fantasy 2026: Why the Broncos QB Is a Value at a QB13 Price
FFMatchup · Aug 24, 2026
USAGE VS MARKET
Courtland Sutton 2026: Denver Added Jaylen Waddle. Is He Still Draftable?
FFMatchup · Jul 24, 2026
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs JAX: allows 31.1 PPR/g to WR, rank 16/32 (Average). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
DEN targets to WR
DEN routes 61% of pass targets to WR this season (63% over the trailing 8 wk), +0.7 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer Bo Nix. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (348/570). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj10.6WR39
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR39), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs JAX
contextvs JAX: 1 game, 20.6 PPR avg
| Game | As | Site | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W16 |  DEN | vs JAX | 12 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 20.6 | 17.6 | 14.6 |
Swipe for more →
Small sample (1 game). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %78%
Target share9%
Opportunities2
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Hard
#24 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
95Hard
#24 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
97Hard
#26 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextrole change
But the Broncos traded for Jaylen Waddle to play opposite Courtland Sutton, so that's a crowded wide receivers room for new playcaller Davis Webb.
source ↗role change
But the Broncos traded for Jaylen Waddle to play opposite Courtland Sutton, so that's a crowded wide receivers room for new playcaller Davis Webb.
source ↗- Broncos release WR Lil'Jordan Humphrey in procedural movewww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-14
- What we're hearing on Week 1: Latest NFL buzz on injury comebacks, breakouts and playoff sleeperswww.espn.com · 2026-09-10
- The Playbook: Shadow Reports, lineup locks and projected scores for Week 1www.espn.com · 2026-09-09
- WR Sutton says Broncos QB Nix like a caged mountain lion as opener nearswww.espn.com · 2026-09-09
- Fantasy Football 2026: Personnel groupings to monitorwww.pff.com · 2026-09-08
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
12.9 PPR/g · best 24.3
18
✓
1
2
✗
2
24
✓
3
19
✓
4
18
✓
5
3
✗
6
17
✓
7
11
✗
8
10
✗
9
5
✗
10
10
✓
11
17
✗
13
12
✓
14
24
✓
15
21
✓
16
8
✗
17
2
✗
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–1717.6 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 12.9 season averageour calls: 2/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | vsLAC | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 78% | 9% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 2025 W17 | @KC | 10 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 82% | 27% | 8.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| 2025 W16 | vsJAX | 12 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 94% | 26% | 20.6 | 17.6 | 14.6 |
| 2025 W15 | vsGB | 10 | 7 | 113 | 1 | 88% | 31% | 24.3 | 20.8 | 17.3 |
| 2025 W14 | @LV | 10 | 6 | 62 | 0 | 65% | 29% | 12.2 | 9.2 | 6.2 |
| 2025 W13 | @WSH | 6 | 5 | 62 | 1 | 81% | 14% | 17.2 | 14.7 | 12.2 |
| 2025 W11 | vsKC | 8 | 4 | 59 | 0 | 92% | 24% | 9.9 | 7.9 | 5.9 |
| 2025 W10 | vsLV | 4 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 87% | 15% | 5.4 | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| 2025 W9 | @HOU | 6 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 92% | 18% | 10.0 | 9.5 | 9.0 |
| 2025 W8 | vsDAL | 6 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 84% | 22% | 10.7 | 8.7 | 6.7 |
| 2025 W7 | vsNYG | 10 | 6 | 87 | 0 | 94% | 21% | 16.7 | 13.7 | 10.7 |
| 2025 W6 | @NYJ | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 80% | 12% | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 2025 W5 | @PHI | 10 | 8 | 99 | 0 | 95% | 28% | 17.9 | 13.9 | 9.9 |
| 2025 W4 | vsCIN | 6 | 5 | 81 | 1 | 85% | 14% | 19.1 | 16.6 | 14.1 |
| 2025 W3 | @LAC | 8 | 6 | 118 | 1 | 81% | 35% | 23.8 | 20.8 | 17.8 |
| 2025 W2 | @IND | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 78% | 13% | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 2025 W1 | vsTEN | 9 | 6 | 61 | 1 | 95% | 25% | 18.1 | 15.1 | 12.1 |
| 2024 W18 | vsKC | 7 | 5 | 98 | 1 | 65% | 24% | 20.8 | 18.3 | 15.8 |
Swipe for more →
Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim50%hit rate
34 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 50%
of 6 Start calls
🟡 47%
of 19 Flex calls
🔴 56%
of 9 Sit calls
Based on 34 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | LAC | START | 15.3 | WR95 (1.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | KC | START | 15.0 | WR44 (8.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W16 | JAX | START | 13.9 | WR10 (20.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | GB | FLEX | 11.0 | WR4 (24.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | LV | FLEX | 10.7 | WR21 (12.2) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | WSH | SIT | 10.7 | WR16 (17.2) | ✗ |
| 2025 W11 | KC | SIT | 10.7 | WR32 (9.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | LV | FLEX | 10.8 | WR53 (5.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | HOU | FLEX | 11.4 | WR36 (10.0) | ✗ |
| 2025 W8 | DAL | FLEX | 12.6 | WR36 (10.7) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade