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Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR · SF
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: projected outside startable range
2026 Wk 2
Reads
analysis
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs MIA: allows 29.4 PPR/g to WR, rank 19/32 (Average). Trailing WR PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
SF targets to WR
DowngradeSF routes 48% of pass targets to WR this season (47% over the trailing 8 wk), −1.1 SD vs the league WR average.
Primary passer Mac Jones. 2025 share of pass targets to WR (251/522). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj8.5WR56
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (WR56), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs MIA
contextvs MIA: 2 games, 22.9 PPR avg (1 as SF, 1 as WSH)
Small sample (2 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %42%
Target share21%
Opportunities8
Signal · descriptiveOpportunity rising, production lagging (last-3-week opportunities up vs the prior three while fantasy output hasn’t followed. Often a buy-low pattern.)
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Average
#20 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
88Hard
#32 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
99Average
#20 of 32 · 17 games
WRschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
contextout
With Ricky Pearsall out for the season, the rookie will compete with Mike Evans (33 years old), Deebo Samuel Sr.
source ↗out
However, popular rookie De'Zhaun Stribling (ankle) is out for at least a month and veterans Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel Sr.
source ↗- Waiver wire: Shough, Black, Coker highlight top picks for Week 2www.espn.com · 2026-09-14
- Waiver wire: Shough, Black, Coker highlight top picks for Week 2www.espn.com · 2026-09-14
- NFL Week 1's fashionable arrivals, featuring Jalen Hurts and Kyler Murraywww.espn.com · 2026-09-13
- Report: 49ers WR De'Zhaun Stribling to miss at least a month with an ankle injurywww.nbcsports.com · 2026-09-13
- 😈 Bills' Houston-themed jabs top Week 1 trollswww.espn.com · 2026-09-13
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
11.8 PPR/g · best 23.6
23
✗
1
17
✓
2
5
✗
3
20
✗
4
24
✓
5
5
✗
6
4
✗
8
9
✗
9
13
✗
10
21
✗
11
11
✗
13
7
✗
14
7
✗
15
7
✗
16
11
✓
17
4
✗
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–178.4 PPR/g over 3 gamesbelow their 11.8 season averageour calls: 1/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Car | RuYd | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | @ LAR | 7 | 6 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 42% | 21% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | @PHI | 5 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 71% | 26% | 4.1 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| 2025 W17 | vsDAL | 4 | 2 | 68 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 82% | 19% | 11.3 | 10.3 | 9.3 |
| 2025 W16 | vsPHI | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 | – | – | 81% | 20% | 6.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 |
| 2025 W15 | @NYG | 5 | 3 | 43 | 0 | – | – | 61% | 31% | 7.3 | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| 2025 W14 | @MIN | 6 | 4 | 27 | 0 | – | – | 52% | 30% | 6.7 | 4.7 | 2.7 |
| 2025 W13 | vsDEN | 7 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 70% | 16% | 11.1 | 8.6 | 6.1 |
| 2025 W11 | @MIA | 8 | 7 | 74 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 75% | 28% | 20.7 | 17.2 | 13.7 |
| 2025 W10 | vsDET | 5 | 4 | 29 | 1 | – | – | 78% | 23% | 12.9 | 10.9 | 8.9 |
| 2025 W9 | vsSEA | 6 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 68% | 29% | 9.4 | 6.9 | 4.4 |
| 2025 W8 | @KC | 6 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 74% | 20% | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 2025 W6 | vsCHI | 5 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 72% | 21% | 5.4 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 2025 W5 | @LAC | 11 | 8 | 96 | 1 | – | – | 78% | 48% | 23.6 | 19.6 | 15.6 |
| 2025 W4 | @ATL | 6 | 6 | 72 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 86% | 25% | 20.1 | 17.1 | 14.1 |
| 2025 W3 | vsLV | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43% | 17% | 4.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| 2025 W2 | @GB | 8 | 7 | 44 | 1 | – | – | 88% | 20% | 17.4 | 13.9 | 10.4 |
| 2025 W1 | vsNYG | 10 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 77% | 35% | 22.6 | 19.1 | 15.6 |
| 2024 W17 | vsDET | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 83% | 3% | 9.1 | 8.6 | 8.1 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim36%hit rate
31 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟢 40%
of 5 Start calls
🟡 20%
of 15 Flex calls
🔴 55%
of 11 Sit calls
Based on 31 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | PHI | FLEX | 9.5 | WR66 (4.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W17 | DAL | SIT | 9.9 | WR31 (11.3) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | PHI | FLEX | 11.2 | WR60 (6.5) | ✗ |
| 2025 W15 | NYG | FLEX | 11.8 | WR53 (7.3) | ✗ |
| 2025 W14 | MIN | FLEX | 12.1 | WR47 (6.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W13 | DEN | FLEX | 11.3 | WR32 (11.1) | ✗ |
| 2025 W11 | MIA | SIT | 10.2 | WR5 (20.7) | ✗ |
| 2025 W10 | DET | FLEX | 12.2 | WR26 (12.9) | ✗ |
| 2025 W9 | SEA | FLEX | 13.3 | WR38 (9.4) | ✗ |
| 2025 W8 | KC | FLEX | 12.4 | WR66 (4.2) | ✗ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade