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Ameer Abdullah
RB · JAX
SIT
upcoming
2026 Week 2
Why: limited usage, tough matchup
2026 Wk 2
Matchup & environment
contextImplied team total
–
Vegas-implied points (game environment)
vs DEN: allows 16.9 PPR/g to RB, rank 32/32 (Tough). Trailing RB PPR allowed per game, weeks before 2026 W2. Descriptive context, never a model input.
JAX targets to RB
JAX routes 14% of pass targets to RB this season (12% over the trailing 8 wk), −0.9 SD vs the league RB average.
Primary passer Trevor Lawrence. 2025 share of pass targets to RB (78/539). Descriptive context, never a model input.
Draft outlook
contextProj0.3RB89
2026 Week 1 consensus PPR projection (RB89), from tank01 getNFLProjections (consensus, PPR). Descriptive draft-prep context, not a start/sit call.
History vs DEN
contextvs DEN: 4 games, 8.3 PPR avg
Small sample (4 games). Defense roster/scheme turnover means the unit from prior seasons may differ significantly. Descriptive context only, never a model input or driver of the start/sit call.
Usage & opportunity trends
contextSnap %0%
Target share5%
Opportunities5
Snap %, target share and opportunities are descriptive usage: how the offense has deployed this player, not a forecast. Weeks shown: most recent 16.
Schedule strength (SOS)
contextRest of season
98Hard
#24 of 32 · 16 games
Fantasy playoffs
105Easy
#4 of 32 · 3 games
Full season
98Hard
#28 of 32 · 17 games
RBschedule vs the rest of the league: 100 = league-average, >100 softer, <100 tougher; rank 1 = easiest of 32. Projected on 2025 defense. low-confidence early-season estimate. Descriptive context, not a start/sit call.
News & availability
context- Four NFL offenses that went off Sunday: Barnwell makes sense of the Bears, Ravens, Bills and Jagswww.espn.com · 2026-09-14
- NFL Week 1 Recap: Immediate fantasy football takeaways from Sunday’s gameswww.pff.com · 2026-09-13
- Previewing the 2026 NFL season: Bold predictions, strengths and concerns for all 32 teamswww.espn.com · 2026-09-06
- Takeaways from NFL preseason Week 2: QB questions linger for Browns, Cowboys, Vikingswww.espn.com · 2026-08-23
- Buzz, news and more from Panthers training camp: Young, McMillan put on a show in Jacksonvillewww.espn.com · 2026-08-19
Game log
context2025 by week
Fantasy points, matchups, and our calls
2.8 PPR/g · best 9.7
7
✗
5
3
✗
6
4
✓
7
2
✓
8
2
✓
9
2
✓
10
0
✓
12
0
✓
13
3
✓
14
10
✓
15
-1
✓
16
1
✓
17
5
✓
18
Fantasy playoffs · W15–173.5 PPR/g over 3 gamesabove their 2.8 season averageour calls: 3/3 hit
Our weekly call: Start Flex Sit✓ hit ✗ miss playoff weeks
| Week | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | Snap% | Tgt% | PPR | Half | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | vs CLE | 4 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5% | – | – | – |
| 2025 W18 | @HOU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 12% | 6% | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 2025 W17 | vsJAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9% | 3% | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 2025 W16 | vsSF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7% | 3% | -0.6 | -1.1 | -1.6 |
| 2025 W15 | @SEA | 4 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 23% | 19% | 9.7 | 7.2 | 4.7 |
| 2025 W14 | @JAX | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 24% | 6% | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 2025 W13 | vsHOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2% | 0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W12 | @KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8% | 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 W10 | vsATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 6% | 4% | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 2025 W9 | @PIT | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6% | 2% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 2025 W8 | vsTEN | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19% | 4% | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 2025 W7 | @LAC | 2 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8% | 3% | 3.7 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| 2025 W6 | vsARI | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 5% | 3% | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 2025 W5 | vsLV | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8% | 0% | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.6 |
| 2024 W17 | @ NO | 20 | 115 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 62% | 11% | 17.7 | 16.2 | 14.7 |
| 2024 W16 | vsJAX | 7 | 38 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 43% | 16% | 19.5 | 17.0 | 14.5 |
| 2024 W15 | vsATL | 3 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 1 | 46% | 21% | 19.6 | 16.1 | 12.6 |
| 2024 W14 | @ TB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 39% | 6% | 0.8 | 0.3 | -0.2 |
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Descriptive per-week usage and PPR output. Situational PBP cuts (red-zone, 3rd-down) and EPA/touch are planned for v2.
Accuracy
our claim76%hit rate
29 graded calls
Hit rate by call type
🟡 40%
of 5 Flex calls
🔴 83%
of 24 Sit calls
Based on 29 graded calls.
Recent calls
| Week | Opp | Call | Proj | Finish | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | HOU | SIT | 2.2 | RB50 (4.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W17 | JAX | SIT | 3.3 | RB65 (1.4) | ✓ |
| 2025 W16 | SF | SIT | 3.2 | RB90 (-0.6) | ✓ |
| 2025 W15 | SEA | SIT | 0.9 | RB29 (9.7) | ✓ |
| 2025 W14 | JAX | SIT | 1.7 | RB56 (2.9) | ✓ |
| 2025 W13 | HOU | SIT | 2.2 | RB74 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W12 | KC | SIT | 2.3 | RB60 (0.0) | ✓ |
| 2025 W10 | ATL | SIT | 3.2 | RB54 (1.8) | ✓ |
| 2025 W9 | PIT | SIT | 3.8 | RB56 (1.5) | ✓ |
| 2025 W8 | TEN | SIT | 7.4 | RB52 (1.8) | ✓ |
✓ and ✗ grade where a player finished, not his points: a call hits when he finished startable (top-24 RB/WR, top-12 QB/TE), even if he came in under his projection. How we grade